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Related papers: Minimax Predictive Density for Sparse Count Data

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Recent work has attempted to directly approximate the `function-space' or predictive posterior distribution of Bayesian models, without approximating the posterior distribution over the parameters. This is appealing in e.g. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-19 David R. Burt , Sebastian W. Ober , Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Mark van der Wilk

We present a sparse estimation and dictionary learning framework for compressed fiber sensing based on a probabilistic hierarchical sparse model. To handle severe dictionary coherence, selective shrinkage is achieved using a Weibull prior,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-24 Christian Weiss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

In this thesis we discuss machine learning methods performing automated variable selection for learning sparse predictive models. There are multiple reasons for promoting sparsity in the predictive models. By relying on a limited set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Magda Gregorova

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Daniil Ryabko

Large-scale regression problems where both the number of variables, $p$, and the number of observations, $n$, may be large and in the order of millions or more, are becoming increasingly more common. Typically the data are sparse: only a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Rajen D. Shah , Nicolai Meinshausen

Count data with zero inflation and large outliers are ubiquitous in many scientific applications. However, posterior analysis under a standard statistical model, such as Poisson or negative binomial distribution, is sensitive to such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We address the question of estimating Kullback-Leibler losses rather than squared losses in recovery problems where the noise is distributed within the exponential family. Inspired by Stein unbiased risk estimator (SURE), we exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-22 Charles-Alban Deledalle

We consider the problem of estimating probability density functions based on sample data, using a finite mixture of densities from some component class. To this end, we introduce the $h$-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-24 Mark Chiu Chong , Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

We establish non-asymptotic efficiency guarantees for tensor decomposition-based inference in count data models. Under a Poisson framework, we consider two related goals: (i) parametric inference, the estimation of the full distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Oscar López , Arvind Prasadan , Carlos Llosa-Vite , Richard B. Lehoucq , Daniel M. Dunlavy

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

Wide conditions are provided to guarantee asymptotic unbiasedness and L^2-consistency of the introduced estimates of the Kullback-Leibler divergence for probability measures in R^d having densities w.r.t. the Lebesgue measure. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Alexander Bulinski , Denis Dimitrov

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

We consider a novel Bayesian approach to estimation, uncertainty quantification, and variable selection for a high-dimensional linear regression model under sparsity. The number of predictors can be nearly exponentially large relative to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Samhita Pal , Subhashis Ghoshal

Motivated by the orthogonal series density estimation in $L^2([0,1],\mu)$, in this project we consider a new class of functions that we call the approximate sparsity class. This new class is characterized by the rate of decay of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-14 Lucas Z. Zhang

We investigate predictive densities for multivariate normal models with unknown mean vectors and known covariance matrices. Bayesian predictive densities based on shrinkage priors often have complex representations, although they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang
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