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Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

In this paper we present nonparametric estimators for coefficients in stochastic differential equation if the data are described by independent, identically distributed random variables. The problem is formulated as a nonlinear ill-posed…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-18 Fabian Dunker , Thorsten Hohage

We study the optimal control problem for a weighted mean-field system. A new feature of the control problem is that the coefficients depend on the state process as well as its weighted measure and the control variable. By applying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Yanyan Tang , Jie Xiong

Inference is typically intractable in high-treewidth undirected graphical models, making maximum likelihood learning a challenge. One way to overcome this is to restrict parameters to a tractable set, most typically the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Justin Domke

Leveraging a stochastic extension of Zubov's equation, we develop a physics-informed neural network (PINN) approach for learning a neural Lyapunov function that captures the largest probabilistic region of attraction (ROA) for stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Yun Su , Hans De Sterck , Jun Liu

A recent trend of research on direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation is to localize more uncorrelated sources than sensors by using a proper sparse linear array (SLA) and the Toeplitz covariance structure, at a cost of robustness to source…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-28 Zai Yang , Xinyao Chen , Xunmeng Wu

Random fields play a central role in the analysis of spatially correlated data and, as a result, have a significant impact on a broad array of scientific applications. This paper studies the cepstral random field model, providing recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Tucker S. McElroy , Scott H. Holan

We here adapt an extended version of the adaptive cubic regularisation method with dynamic inexact Hessian information for nonconvex optimisation in [3] to the stochastic optimisation setting. While exact function evaluations are still…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Stefania Bellavia , Gianmarco Gurioli

Generalized Brown-Resnick processes form a flexible class of stationary max-stable processes based on Gaussian random fields. With regard to applications fast and accurate simulation of these processes is an important issue. In fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Marco Oesting

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

Identifying important features linked to a response variable is a fundamental task in various scientific domains. This article explores statistical inference for simulated Markov random fields in high-dimensional settings. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Haoyu Wei , Xiaoyu Lei , Yixin Han , Huiming Zhang

Max-stable random sketches can be computed efficiently on fast streaming positive data sets by using only sequential access to the data. They can be used to answer point and Lp-norm queries for the signal. There is an intriguing connection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , Murad S. Taqqu

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

The latent position model (LPM) is a popular method used in network data analysis where nodes are assumed to be positioned in a $p$-dimensional latent space. The latent shrinkage position model (LSPM) is an extension of the LPM which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Xian Yao Gwee , Isobel Claire Gormley , Michael Fop

In the realm of reinforcement learning (RL), accounting for risk is crucial for making decisions under uncertainty, particularly in applications where safety and reliability are paramount. In this paper, we introduce a general framework on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Yu Chen , Xiangcheng Zhang , Siwei Wang , Longbo Huang

Stochastic and soft optimal policies resulting from entropy-regularized Markov decision processes (ER-MDP) are desirable for exploration and imitation learning applications. Motivated by the fact that such policies are sensitive with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models that are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Jiaxin Zhang , Frank Liu , Mahantesh Halappanavar