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We propose a method for the prediction of stationary max--stable random fields with $\alpha$-Fr\'echet marginal distribution $H_\alpha$. The method is suitable to cope with heavy tails for $\alpha\in(0,2)$ and is (approximately) exact in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev , Ilja Sukhanov

Spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) are popular and flexible models for non-Gaussian spatial data. They are useful for spatial interpolations as well as for fitting regression models that account for spatial dependence, and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

We consider the problem of sampling from a target distribution, which is \emph {not necessarily logconcave}, in the context of empirical risk minimization and stochastic optimization as presented in Raginsky et al. (2017). Non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Ngoc Huy Chau , Éric Moulines , Miklos Rásonyi , Sotirios Sabanis , Ying Zhang

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Shohei Nakajima

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

Parameter estimation in Markov random fields (MRFs) is a difficult task, in which inference over the network is run in the inner loop of a gradient descent procedure. Replacing exact inference with approximate methods such as loopy belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Varun Ganapathi , David Vickrey , John Duchi , Daphne Koller

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Stochastic proximal point methods have recently garnered renewed attention within the optimization community, primarily due to their desirable theoretical properties. Notably, these methods exhibit a convergence rate that is independent of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Elnur Gasanov , Peter Richtárik

Developing satisfactory methodology for the analysis of Markov random field is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Julien Stoehr

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using It\^o's formula and on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Yoichi Nishiyama

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Daisuke Kurisu

This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of a broad range of variations of the stochastic proximal point method (SPPM). Proximal point methods have attracted considerable interest owing to their numerical stability and robustness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Peter Richtárik , Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Yury Demidovich

The stratified proportional intensity model generalizes Cox's proportional intensity model by allowing different groups of the population under study to have distinct baseline intensity functions. In this article, we consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Amélie Detais , Jean-François Dupuy

Sup-normalized spectral functions form building blocks of max-stable and Pareto processes and therefore play an important role in modeling spatial extremes. For one of the most popular examples, the Brown-Resnick process, simulation is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather , Claudia Schillings

We consider the problem of jointly estimating the parameters as well as the structure of binary valued Markov Random Fields, in contrast to earlier work that focus on one of the two problems. We formulate the problem as a maximization of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-11-11 M. Kolar , E. P. Xing

The restricted maximum likelihood method enhances popularity of maximum likelihood methods for variance component analysis on large scale unbalanced data. As the high throughput biological data sets and the emerged science on uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

Stochastic gradient methods for machine learning and optimization problems are usually analyzed assuming data points are sampled \emph{with} replacement. In practice, however, sampling \emph{without} replacement is very common, easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-18 Ohad Shamir

We introduce deterministic perturbation schemes for the recently proposed random directions stochastic approximation (RDSA) [17], and propose new first-order and second-order algorithms. In the latter case, these are the first second-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Prashanth L A , Shalabh Bhatnagar , Nirav Bhavsar , Michael Fu , Steven I. Marcus
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