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Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Linear regression models are among the models most used in practice, although the practitioners are often not sure whether their assumed linear regression model is at least approximately true. In such situations, only designs for which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wolfgang Bischoff , Frank Miller

The goal of nonparametric regression is to recover an underlying regression function from noisy observations, under the assumption that the regression function belongs to a pre-specified infinite dimensional function space. In the online…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Tianyu Zhang , Noah Simon

This work addresses the problem of risk-sensitive control for nonlinear systems with imperfect state observations, extending results for the linear case. In particular, we derive an algorithm that can compute local solutions with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Bilal Hammoud , Armand Jordana , Ludovic Righetti

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

Neural estimators are simulation-based estimators for the parameters of a family of statistical models, which build a direct mapping from the sample to the parameter vector. They benefit from the versatility of available network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-24 Almut Rödder , Manuel Hentschel , Sebastian Engelke

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

This paper establishes that so-called instrumental variables enable the identification and the estimation of a fully nonparametric regression model with Berkson-type measurement error in the regressors. An estimator is proposed and proven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-15 Susanne M. Schennach

We address the problem of prediction for extreme observations by proposing an extremal linear prediction method. We construct an inner product space of nonnegative random variables derived from transformed-linear combinations of independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jeongjin Lee , Daniel Cooley

We consider non parametric estimation problem for stochastic tomography regression model, i.e. we consider the estimation problem of function of multivariate variables (image) observed through its Radon transformation calculated with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dominique Fourdrinier , Sergey Pergamenshchikov

This paper traces the strong relations between experimental design and control, such as the use of optimal inputs to obtain precise parameter estimation in dynamical systems and the introduction of suitably designed perturbations in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-03 Luc Pronzato

Recent works have developed new projection-free first-order methods based on utilizing linesearches and normal vector computations to maintain feasibility. These oracles can be cheaper than orthogonal projection or linear optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Thabo Samakhoana , Benjamin Grimmer

Observations which are realizations from some continuous process are frequent in sciences, engineering, economics, and other fields. We consider linear models, with possible random effects, where the responses are random functions in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Giacomo Aletti , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

The determination of a differential equation underlying a measured time series is a frequently arising task in nonlinear time series analysis. In the validation of a proposed model one often faces the dilemma that it is hard to decide…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer , H. Rust , W. Horbelt , H. U. Voss

We present a new method for nonlinear prediction of discrete random sequences under minimal structural assumptions. We give a mathematical construction for optimal predictors of such processes, in the form of hidden Markov models. We then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi

We present a new method for nonlinear prediction of discrete random sequences under minimal structural assumptions. We give a mathematical construction for optimal predictors of such processes, in the form of hidden Markov models. We then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Cosma Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Klinkner