Related papers: Observing a L\'evy process up to a stopping time
We prove that the extremal process of branching Brownian motion, in the limit of large times, converges weakly to a cluster point process. The limiting process is a (randomly shifted) Poisson cluster process, where the positions of the…
Suppose that $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ is a one-dimensional Brownian motion with negative drift $-\mu$. It is possible to make sense of conditioning this process to be in the state $0$ at an independent exponential random time and if we kill the…
The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations $x_1...x_{t-1}$ can be computed with Bayes' rule if the true generating distribution $\mu$ of the sequences $x_1x_2x_3...$ is known. If $\mu$ is unknown, but known to…
We study sums of independent and identically distributed random velocities in special relativity. We show that the resulting one-dimensional velocity distributions are not only stable under relativistic velocity addition but define a…
We analyse so-called computable laws, i.e., laws that can be enforced by automatic procedures. These laws should be logically perfect and unambiguous, but sometimes they are not. We use a regulation on road transport to illustrate this…
We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…
For a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process, $X$, with immigration and culling, $0$ as an absorbing state, call $X^q$ the process that results from killing $X$ at rate $q\in (0,\infty)$, followed by stopping it on extinction or…
Admissible rules are shown to be conservatively preserved by the meet-combination of a wide class of logics. A basis is obtained for the resulting logic from bases given for the component logics. Structural completeness and decidability of…
We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…
We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…
The distribution of a Markov process with killing, conditioned to be still alive at a given time, can be approximated by a Fleming-Viot type particle system. In such a system, each particle is simulated independently according to the law of…
In contrast to their seemingly simple and shared structure of independence and stationarity, L\'evy processes exhibit a wide variety of behaviors, from the self-similar Wiener process to piecewise-constant compound Poisson processes.…
Long-time limit of one-dimensional L\'{e}vy processes weighted and normalized with respect to the exponential functional of two-point local times are studied. The limit processes may vary according to the choice of random clocks.
In many real world chaotic systems, the interest is typically in determining when the system will behave in an extreme manner. Flooding and drought, extreme heatwaves, large earthquakes, and large drops in the stock market are examples of…
We study the distribution of the positive sojourn time $$ A_t:= \int_0^t \mathbf 1\{ X_s>0 \}ds $$ of an arbitrary L\'evy process $X:= (X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. For an exponential random variable $E^{(q)}$ of rate $q>0$ independent of $X$ we show…
The phenomenon of superconvergence is proved for all freely infinitely divisible distributions. Precisely, suppose that the partial sums of a sequence of free identically distributed, infinitesimal random variables converge in distribution…
The completeness problem of the bond market model with the random factors determined by a Wiener process and Poisson random measure is studied. Hedging portfolios use bonds with maturities in a countable, dense subset of a finite time…
We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…
We prove a law of large numbers in terms of complete convergence of independent random variables taking values in increments of monotone functions, with convergence uniform both in the initial and the final time. The result holds also for…
The improper stochastic integral $Z=\int_0^{\infty-}\exp(-X_{s-})dY_s$ is studied, where $\{(X_t, Y_t), t \geqslant 0 \}$ is a L\'evy process on $\mathbb R ^{1+d}$ with $\{X_t \}$ and $\{Y_t \}$ being $\mathbb R$-valued and $\mathbb R…