Related papers: Observing a L\'evy process up to a stopping time
Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…
We present a new approach to absolute continuity of laws of Poisson functionals. The theoretical framework is that of local Dirichlet forms as a tool to study probability spaces. The method gives rise to a new explicit calculus that we show…
Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…
We investigate the behavior of L\'{e}vy processes with convolution equivalent L\'{e}vy measures, up to the time of first passage over a high level u. Such problems arise naturally in the context of insurance risk where u is the initial…
The continuous time Markov process considered in this paper belongs to a class of population models with linear growth and catastrophes. There, the catastrophes happen at the arrival times of a Poisson process, and at each catastrophe time,…
Several stochastic processes related to transient L\'evy processes with potential densities $u(x,y)=u(y-x)$, that need not be symmetric nor bounded on the diagonal, are defined and studied. They are real valued processes on a space of…
Several aspects of the laws of first hitting times of points are investigated for one-dimensional symmetric stable L\'evy processes. It\^o's excursion theory plays a key role in this study.
By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which…
We describe the solution of an optimal stopping problem for a stable L\'evy process killed at state-dependent rate, which can be seen as a model for bankruptcy. The killing rate is chosen in such a way that the killed process remains…
Several long-time limit theorems of one-dimensional L\'{e}vy processes weighted and normalized by functions of the local time are studied. The long-time limits are taken via certain families of random times, called clocks: exponential…
In this paper a Malliavin calculus for L\'evy processes based on a family of true derivative operators is developed. The starting point is an extension to L\'evy processes of the pioneering paper by Carlen and Pardoux [8] for the Poisson…
We establish a necessary and sufficient condition for a Poisson suspension to be prime. The proof is based on the Fock space structure of the $L^{2}$-space of the Poisson suspension. We give examples of explicit infinite measure preserving…
Assuming that a L\'evy-Driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (or CAR(1)) processes is observed at discrete times $0$, $h$, $2h$,$\cdots$ $[T/h]h$. We introduce a step-by-step methodological approach on how a person would verify the model assumptions.…
This paper considers magnitude, asymptotics and duration of drawdowns for some L\'{e}vy processes. First, we revisit some existing results on the magnitude of drawdowns for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy processes using an approximation…
The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…
In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…
Let $X$ be a squared Bessel process. Following a Feynman-Kac approach, the Laplace transforms of joint laws of $(U, \int_0^{R_y}X_s^p\,ds)$ are studied where $R_y$ is the first hitting time of $y$ by $X$ and $U$ is a random variable…
The {\em drawdown} process $Y$ of a completely asymmetric L\'{e}vy process $X$ is equal to $X$ reflected at its running supremum $\bar{X}$: $Y = \bar{X} - X$. In this paper we explicitly express in terms of the scale function and the…
Bayes' rule tells us how to invert a causal process in order to update our beliefs in light of new evidence. If the process is believed to have a complex compositional structure, we may ask whether composing the inversions of the component…
We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity. The alternatives are stationary self-exciting point processes. We…