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Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

We are concerned with random ordinary differential equations (RODEs). Our main question of interest is how uncertainties in system parameters propagate through the possibly highly nonlinear dynamical system and affect the system's…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Christian Kuehn , Kerstin Lux

Discrete numerical methods with finite time-steps represent a practical technique to solve initial-value problems involving nonlinear differential equations. These methods seem particularly useful to the study of chaos since no analytical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Lun-Shin Yao

Discrete numerical methods with finite time-steps represent a practical technique to solve initial-value problems involving nonlinear differential equations. These methods seem particularly useful to the study of chaos since no analytical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-01 Lun-Shin Yao

Random invariant manifolds are geometric objects useful for understanding complex dynamics under stochastic influences. Under a nonuniform hyperbolicity or a nonuniform exponential dichotomy condition, the existence of random pseudo-stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Tomas Caraballo , Jinqiao Duan , Kening Lu , Bjorn Schmalfuss

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

One of basic difficulties of machine learning is handling unknown rotations of objects, for example in image recognition. A related problem is evaluation of similarity of shapes, for example of two chemical molecules, for which direct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Jarek Duda

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

Studying 2 degree-of-freedom (DOF) Hamiltonian dynamical systems often involves the computation of stable & unstable manifolds of periodic orbits, due to the homoclinic & heteroclinic connections they can generate. Such study is generally…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Bhanu Kumar

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

Random ordinary differential equations (RODEs), i.e. ODEs with random parameters, are often used to model complex dynamics. Most existing methods to identify unknown governing RODEs from observed data often rely on strong prior knowledge.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Junyu Liu , Zichao Long , Ranran Wang , Jie Sun , Bin Dong

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

Parameter estimation for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) plays a fundamental role in the analysis of dynamical systems. Generally lacking closed-form solutions, ODEs are traditionally approximated using deterministic solvers.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-30 Mohan Wu , Martin Lysy

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

We present a computational method for studying transverse homoclinic orbits for periodic solutions of delay differential equations, a phenomenon that we refer to as the \emph{Poincar\'{e} scenario}. The strategy is geometric in nature, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Olivier Hénot , Jean-Philippe Lessard , Jason D. Mireles James

The application of polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) to the propagation of uncertainties in stochastic dynamical models is well-known to face challenging issues. The accuracy of PCEs degenerates quickly in time. Thus maintaining a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 C. V. Mai , M. D. Spiridonakos , E. N. Chatzi , B. Sudret

In this paper, we consider the problem of computing robust controlled invariants for discrete-time monotone dynamical systems. We consider different classes of monotone systems depending on whether the sets of states, control inputs and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-27 Adnane Saoud , Murat Arcak

Long-horizon motion forecasting for multiple autonomous robots is challenging due to non-linear agent interactions, compounding prediction errors, and continuous-time evolution of dynamics. Learned dynamics of such a system can be useful in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Shounak Sural , Charles Kekeh , Wenliang Liu , Federico Pecora , Mouhacine Benosman
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