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In this paper we deal with the classical problem of random cover times. We investigate the distribution of the time it takes for a Poisson process of cylinders to cover a set $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d.$ This Poisson process of cylinders is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Erik I. Broman , Filipe Mussini

Following previous investigations by {\"U}st{\"u}nel [22] about the invertibility of some transformations on the Wiener space, we find some entropic conditions under which a random change of time is invertible on the Poisson space. As a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond

Large deviations for the local time of a process $X_t$ are investigated, where $X_t=x_i$ for $t \in [S_{i-1},S_i[$ and $(x_j)$ are i.i.d.\ random variables on a Polish space, $S_j$ is the $j$-th arrival time of a renewal process depending…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-10 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

The aim of this paper is the analysis of the fractional Poisson process where the state probabilities $p_k^{\nu_k}(t)$, $t\ge 0$, are governed by time-fractional equations of order $0<\nu_k\leq 1$ depending on the number $k$ of events…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Roberto Garra , Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Fractional Poisson processes, a rapidly growing area of non-Markovian stochastic processes, are useful in statistics to describe data from counting processes when waiting times are not exponentially distributed. We show that the fractional…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Markus Kreer , Ayse Kizilersu , Anthony W. Thomas

Point processes are an essential tool when we are interested in where in time or space events occur. The basic starting point for point processes is usually the Poisson process. Over the years, Stein's method has been developed with a great…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 H. L. Gan

Arrival processes to service systems often display (i) larger than anticipated fluctuations, (ii) a time-varying rate, and (iii) temporal correlation. Motivated by this, we introduce a specific non-homogeneous Poisson process that…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-06-02 M. Heemskerk , M. Mandjes , B. Mathijsen

The arrow of time is an irreversible phenomenon for a system of particles undergoing reversible dynamics. Since the time of Boltzmann to this day, the arrow of time has led to debate and research. However, the enormous growth of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-22 Derek Wright , Roshan Klein-Seetharaman , Susanta K. Sarkar

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

Properties of arrival times are studied for a Cox process with independent (and stationary) increments. Under a reasonable setting the directing random measure is shown to take over independent (and stationary) increments of the process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Muneya Matsui

The remaining travel time of a plane shortens with every minute that passes from its departure, and a flame diminishes a candle with every second it burns. Such everyday occurrences bias us to think that processes which have already begun…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-12 Arnab Pal , Sarah Kostinski , Shlomi Reuveni

In neuroscience, the time elapsed since the last discharge has been used to predict the probability of the next discharge. Such predictions can be improved taking into account the last two discharge times, and possibly more. Such multi-time…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xu'An Dou , Benoît Perthame , Chenjiayue Qi , Delphine Salort , Zhennan Zhou

We study the local (in time) expansion of a continuous-time process and its conditional moments, including the process' characteristic function. The expansions are conducted by using the properties of the (time-extended) Ito signature, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Federico M. Bandi , Roberto Renò , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

This article addresses a modification of local time for stochastic processes, to be referred to as `natural local time'. It is prompted by theoretical developments arising in mathematical treatments of recent experiments and observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Thilanka Appuhamillage , Vrushali Bokil , Enrique Thomann , Edward Waymire , Brian Wood

Random processes with stationary increments and intrinsic random processes are two concepts commonly used to deal with non-stationary random processes. They are broader classes than stationary random processes and conceptually closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Jongwook Kim

We consider a model of a population with fixed size $N$, which is subjected to an unlimited supply of beneficial mutations at a constant rate $\mu_N$. Individuals with $k$ beneficial mutations have the fitness $(1+s_N)^k$. Each individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Nantawat Udomchatpitak , Jason Schweinsberg

We study existence of random elements with partially specified distributions. The technique relies on the existence of a positive extension for linear functionals accompanied by additional conditions that ensure the regularity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Ilya Molchanov

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

We study the connection between PDEs and L\'{e}vy processes running with clocks given by time-changed Poisson processes with stochastic drifts. The random times we deal with are therefore given by time-changed Poissonian jumps related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Luisa Beghin , Mirko D'Ovidio
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