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We introduce an efficient and accurate alternative to full hydrodynamic simulations, Hydro-PM (HPM), for the study of the low column density Lyman-alpha forest. It consists of a Particle-Mesh solver, modified to compute, in addition to the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Nickolay Y. Gnedin , Lam Hui

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Modern cosmological surveys are delivering datasets characterized by unprecedented quality and statistical completeness; this trend is expected to continue into the future as new ground- and space-based surveys come online. In order to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-21 Kelly R. Moran , Katrin Heitmann , Earl Lawrence , Salman Habib , Derek Bingham , Amol Upadhye , Juliana Kwan , David Higdon , Richard Payne

We present a set of ultra-large particle-mesh simulations of the LyA forest targeted at understanding the imprint of baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) in the inter-galactic medium. We use 9 dark matter only simulations which can, for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Martin White , Adrian Pope , Jordan Carlson , Katrin Heitmann , Salman Habib , Patricia Fasel , David Daniel , Zarija Lukic

We present a novel method to significantly speed up cosmological parameter sampling. The method relies on constructing an interpolation of the CMB-log-likelihood based on sparse grids, which is used as a shortcut for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Mona Frommert , Dirk Pflueger , Thomas Riller , Martin Reinecke , Hans-Joachim Bungartz , Torsten Ensslin

We use Bayesian optimization in combination with three-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations to determine the optimal laser and plasma parameters that, for a given laser pulse energy, maximize the cut-off energy of an electron beam…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 P. Valenta , T. Zh. Esirkepov , J. D. Ludwig , S. C. Wilks , S. V. Bulanov

Conventional approaches to cosmology inference from galaxy redshift surveys are based on n-point functions, which are under rigorous perturbative control on sufficiently large scales. Here, we present an alternative approach, which employs…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-23 Fabian Schmidt , Franz Elsner , Jens Jasche , Nhat Minh Nguyen , Guilhem Lavaux

Confronting measurements of the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest with cosmological hydrodynamical simulations has produced stringent constraints on models of particle dark matter and the thermal and ionization state of the intergalactic medium. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-20 Nabendu Kumar Khan , Girish Kulkarni , James S. Bolton , Martin G. Haehnelt , Vid Iršič , Ewald Puchwein , Shikhar Asthana

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

On large scales, the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest provides insights into the expansion history of the Universe, while on small scales, it imposes strict constraints on the growth history, the nature of dark matter, and the sum of neutrino masses.…

A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-18 Stephen M. Feeney , Matthew C. Johnson , Jason D. McEwen , Daniel J. Mortlock , Hiranya V. Peiris

We demonstrate a method for reconstructing the weak lensing potential from the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest data. We derive an optimal estimator for the lensing potential on the sky based on the correlation between pixels in real space. This…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-21 R. Benton Metcalf , Nicolas Tessore , Rupert A. C. Croft

Experiments in engineering are typically conducted in controlled environments where parameters can be set to any desired value. This assumes that the same applies in a real-world setting -- an assumption that is often incorrect as many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mike Diessner , Kevin J. Wilson , Richard D. Whalley

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Ian Vernon , John Paul Gosling

Recent advances have extended the scope of Bayesian optimization (BO) to expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions with dozens of dimensions, aspiring to unlock impactful applications, for example, in the life sciences, neural architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Leonard Papenmeier , Luigi Nardi , Matthias Poloczek

Standard cosmological analysis, which relies on two-point statistics, fails to extract the full information of the data. This limits our ability to constrain with precision cosmological parameters. Thus, recent years have seen a paradigm…

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Lyman-$\alpha$(Ly$\alpha$) forest in the spectra of distant quasars encodes the information of the underlying cosmic density field at smallest scales. The modelling of the upcoming large and high-fidelity forest data using cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-10 Bhaskar Arya