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This paper deals with multidimensional dynamic risk measures induced by conditional $g$-expectations. A notion of multidimensional $g$-expectation is proposed to provide a multidimensional version of nonlinear expectations. By a technical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-09 Yuhong Xu

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

Probability measures by themselves, are known to be inappropriate for modeling the dynamics of plain belief and their excessively strong measurability constraints make them unsuitable for some representational tasks, e.g. in the context of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Emil Weydert

The main goal of this paper is to investigate under which conditions cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures are time-consistent. Proceeding as in Detlefsen and Scandolo \cite{detlef-scandolo} and inspired by their result, we give a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

We discuss risk measures representing the minimum amount of capital a financial institution needs to raise and invest in a pre-specified eligible asset to ensure it is adequately capitalized. Most of the literature has focused on…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-05 Walter Farkas , Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

When simulating a complex stochastic system, the behavior of output response depends on input parameters estimated from finite real-world data, and the finiteness of data brings input uncertainty into the system. The quantification of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-20 Helin Zhu , Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

The intuition of risk is based on two main concepts: loss and variability. In this paper, we present a composition of risk and deviation measures, which contemplate these two concepts. Based on the proposed Limitedness axiom, we prove that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Marcelo Brutti Righi

Risk management is a fundamental discipline in project management, which includes, among others, quantitative risk analysis. Throughout several years of teaching, we have observed difficulties in students performing Monte Carlo Simulation…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-03 Fernando Acebes , David Curto , Juan de Anton , Felix Villafanez

This paper gives a brief overview on the nonparametric techniques that are useful for financial econometric problems. The problems include estimation and inferences of instantaneous returns and volatility functions of time-homogeneous and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jianqing Fan

We introduce the concept of partial law invariance, generalizing the concepts of law invariance and probabilistic sophistication widely used in decision theory, as well as statistical and financial applications. This new concept is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Yi Shen , Zachary Van Oosten , Ruodu Wang

We provide a characterization in terms of Fatou closedness for weakly closed monotone convex sets in the space of $\mathcal{P}$-quasisure bounded random variables, where $\mathcal{P}$ is a (possibly non-dominated) class of probability…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Marco Maggis , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

Models continue to increase their already broad use across industry as well as their sophistication. Worldwide regulation oblige financial institutions to manage and address model risk with the same severity as any other type of risk, which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-17 Zuzana Krajcovicova , Pedro Pablo Perez-Velasco , Carlos Vazquez

Multivariate Poisson processes have many important applications in Insurance, Finance, and many other areas of Applied Probability. In this paper we study the backward simulation approach to modelling multivariate Poisson processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-30 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

We extend well-known comparative results under expected utility to models of non-expected utility by providing novel conditions on local utility functions. We illustrate how our results parallel, and are distinct from, existing results for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-16 Collin Raymond , Yangwei Song

Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga

Functionals in geometric probability are often expressed as sums of bounded functions exhibiting exponential stabilization. Methods based on cumulant techniques and exponential modifications of measures show that such functionals satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yu Baryshnikov , P. Eichelsbacher , T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

We apply the concept of free random variables to doubly correlated (Gaussian) Wishart random matrix models, appearing for example in a multivariate analysis of financial time series, and displaying both inter-asset cross-covariances and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-01-18 Z. Burda , A. Jarosz , J. Jurkiewicz , M. A. Nowak , G. Papp , I. Zahed

Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their risk-aversion functions. To date there has been very little guidance on the choice of risk-aversion functions underlying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 kevin dowd , john cotter

The paper investigates the problem of performing correlation analysis when the number of observations is very large. In such a case, it is often necessary to combine the random observations to achieve dimensionality reduction of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Pavel Loskot