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The conventional use of the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to model block maxima may be inappropriate when extremes are actually structured into multiple heterogeneous groups. In this work, we propose a novel approach for…

Probabilistic mixture models are recognized as effective tools for unsupervised outlier detection owing to their interpretability and global characteristics. Among these, Dirichlet process mixture models stand out as a strong alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Dongwook Kim , Juyeon Park , Hee Cheol Chung , Seonghyun Jeong

We present a Bayesian mixture model for estimating the joint distribution of mixed ordinal, nominal, and continuous data conditional on a set of fixed variables. The model uses multivariate normal and categorical mixture kernels for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Maria DeYoreo , Jerome P. Reiter

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In social science research, understanding latent structures in populations through survey data with categorical responses is a common and important task. Traditional methods like Factor Analysis and Latent Class Analysis have limitations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Chayut Wongkamthong

Item response theory (IRT) models typically rely on a normality assumption for subject-specific latent traits, which is often unrealistic in practice. Semiparametric extensions based on Dirichlet process mixtures offer a more flexible…

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Jim Griffin , Fabrizio Leisen

In this publication, we combine two Bayesian non-parametric models: the Gaussian Process (GP) and the Dirichlet Process (DP). Our innovation in the GP model is to introduce a variation on the GP prior which enables us to model structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-15 James Hensman , Magnus Rattray , Neil D. Lawrence

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a fully Bayesian approach to modeling with ensembles of trees. BART can uncover complex regression functions with high dimensional regressors in a fairly automatic way and provide Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-11 Edward George , Prakash Laud , Brent Logan , Robert McCulloch , Rodney Sparapani

Recent advances in engineering technologies have enabled the collection of a large number of longitudinal features. This wealth of information presents unique opportunities for researchers to investigate the complex nature of diseases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Zihang Lu , Noirrit Kiran Chandra

During the semiconductor manufacturing process, predicting the yield of the semiconductor is an important problem. Early detection of defective product production in the manufacturing process can save huge production cost. The data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-03 Sewon Park , Kyeongwon Lee , Da-Eun Jeong , Heung-Kook Ko , Jaeyong Lee

In this paper, we showed that the no-arbitrage condition holds if the market follows the mixture of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM). The mixture of GBM can incorporate heavy-tail behavior of the market. It automatically leads us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-02 Sourish Das , Aritra Halder , Ananya Lahiri , Dipak K Dey

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation of a probability density $p$ based on a random sample of size $n$ from this density using a hierarchical prior. The prior consists, for instance, of prior weights on the regularity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Jüri Lember , Aad van der Vaart

We consider Bayesian nonparametric density estimation using a Pitman-Yor or a normalized inverse-Gaussian process kernel mixture as the prior distribution for a density. The procedure is studied from a frequentist perspective. Using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Catia Scricciolo

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 François Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe
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