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Bayesian statistics is based on the subjective definition of probability as {\it ``degree of belief''} and on Bayes' theorem, the basic tool for assigning probabilities to hypotheses combining {\it a priori} judgements and experimental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2016-09-01 G. D'Agostini

I discuss some central issues in particle physics which are potentially relevant to cosmology. I first briefly review the present (glorious) experimental status of the Standard Model, emphasizing that it provides a firm foundation both for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Frank Wilczek

We discuss scientific realism from the perspective of modern cosmology, especially primordial cosmology: i.e. the cosmological investigation of the very early universe. We first (Section 2) state our allegiance to scientific realism, and…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2016-06-14 Feraz Azhar , Jeremy Butterfield

Scientific cosmology has now reached its period of maturity with the establishment of a standard model, which is the theory of an expanding universe. The question of whether this expansion resolves itself, in the past, into a singularity…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-10-29 Daniel Parrochia

Model-independent methods in cosmology has become an essential tool in order to deal with an increasing number of theoretical alternatives for explaining the late-time acceleration of the Universe. In principle, this provides a way of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-13 Vinicius C. Busti , Peter K. S. Dunsby , Alvaro de la Cruz-Dombriz , Diego Saez-Gomez

Although the inflationary paradigm is the most widely accepted explanation for the current cosmological observations, it does not necessarily correspond to what actually happened in the early stages of our Universe. To decide on this issue,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-20 Marc Lilley , Patrick Peter

Prediction in quantum cosmology requires a specification of the universe's quantum dynamics and its quantum state. We expect only a few general features of the universe to be predicted with probabilities near unity conditioned on the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

We consider the Standard Models of particle physics and hot big bang cosmology, and review the theoretical and experimental motivations for extending these models to include supersymmetry and inflation. An obvious extension would be to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 S. F. King , D. A. J. Rayner

A cosmological model with total density close to critical (and flat geometry), dominated by dark matter and dark energy of unknown nature, and consistent with the basic predictions of the inflationary scenario is a very good fit to a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Balbi

The fundamental laws and constants of our universe seem to be finely tuned for life. The various multiverse hypotheses are popular explanations for the fine tuning. This paper reviews the four main suggestions on inference in the presence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-03 V. Palonen

General relativity has a Hamiltonian formulation, which formally provides a canonical (Liouville) measure on the space of solutions. In ordinary statistical physics, the Liouville measure is used to compute probabilities of macrostates, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2012-08-16 Joshua S. Schiffrin , Robert M. Wald

In light of the recent observational data coming from the sky we have two significant directions in the field of theoretical cosmology recently. First, we are now able to make use of present observations, such as the Planck and BICEP2 data,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-06-19 Yi-Fu Cai

In recent analyses of standard, single-universe, cosmology, it was pointed out that specific assumptions regarding the distribution and motion of matter must be made in order to set up the cosmological standard model with a global time…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-10 Svend E. Rugh , Henrik Zinkernagel

Cosmic inflation is arguably the most favoured paradigm of the very early Universe. It postulates an early phase of fast, nearly exponential, and accelerated expansion. Inflationary models are capable of explaining the overall flatness and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-08 Cristian Joana

Is the universe finite or infinite, and what shape does it have? These fundamental questions, of which relatively little is known, are typically studied within the context of the standard model of cosmology where the universe is assumed to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-06-02 Gregory J. Galloway , Marcus A. Khuri , Eric Woolgar

We formulate a quantum theory of the Universe based on Bayesian probability. In this theory, the probability of the Universe is not a frequency probability, which can be obtained by observing experimental results several times, but is a…

General Physics · Physics 2019-08-01 Matsuo Sato

The early Universe inflation is well known as a promising theory to explain the origin of large scale structure of Universe and to solve the early universe pressing problems. For a resonable inflation model, the potential during inflation…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Xin He Meng

The aim of this thesis is to question some of the basic assumptions that go into building the $\Lambda$CDM model of our universe. The assumptions we focus on are the initial conditions of the universe, the fundamental forces in the universe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-25 Darsh Kodwani

This article gives a brief overview of some of the theory behind the inflationary cosmology, and discusses prospects for constraining inflation using observations. Particular care is given to the question of falsifiability of inflation or…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Andrew R Liddle