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Numerical evaluation of performance measures in heavy-tailed risk models is an important and challenging problem. In this paper, we construct very accurate approximations of such performance measures that provide small absolute and relative…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

Real-world data are long-tailed, the lack of tail samples leads to a significant limitation in the generalization ability of the model. Although numerous approaches of class re-balancing perform well for moderate class imbalance problems,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Yanbiao Ma , Licheng Jiao , Fang Liu , Shuyuan Yang , Xu Liu , Puhua Chen

In this article we show the relationship between the Pareto distribution and the gamma distribution. This shows that the second one, appropriately extended, explains some anomalies that arise in the practical use of extreme value theory.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Joan del castillo , Jalila Daoudi , Isabel Serra

We characterize the complex, heavy-tailed probability distribution functions (pdf) describing the response and its local extrema for structural systems subjected to random forcing that includes extreme events. Our approach is based on the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Non-linear maps can possess various dynamical behaviors varying from stable steady states and cycles to chaotic oscillations. Most models assume that individuals within a given population are identical ignoring the fundamental role of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Georgy P. Karev

We consider phase-type scale mixture distributions which correspond to distributions of a product of two independent random variables: a phase-type random variable $Y$ and a nonnegative but otherwise arbitrary random variable $S$ called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa , Wangyue Xie

Since the turn of the century, there has been increased interest in the application of heavy-tailed distributions, particularly stable distributions, to problems in physics and finance. Although, the tails of stable distributions provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová

We propose a transformation capable of altering the tail properties of a distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, which can be used as a layer in a normalizing flow to approximate multivariate heavy tailed distributions. We apply…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Tennessee Hickling , Dennis Prangle

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

In this paper we investigate peculiarities of phase transition high-symmetry - incommensurate phase in inhomogeneous systems. We obtain the nonlinear dispersion law and then present a renormalization group analysis of phase transitions in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 B. R. Gadjiev

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Probability modelling for DNA sequence evolution is well established and provides a rich framework for understanding genetic variation between samples of individuals from one or more populations. We show that both classical and more recent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-07 Asger Hobolth , Arno Siri-Jégousse , Mogens Bladt

We show that a simple mechanistic model of spatial dispersal for settling organisms, subject to parameter variability, can generate heavy-tailed radial probability density functions. The movement of organisms in the model consists of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

We consider inhomogeneous percolation on a hierarchical configuration model with a heavy-tailed degree distribution. This graph is the configuration model where all the half-edges are colored either black or white, and edges are formed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-11 David Clancy

We propose an analytical approach to the computation of tail probabilities of compound distributions whose individual components have heavy tails. Our approach is based on the contour integration method, and gives rise to a representation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-04 Igor Halperin

We present an overview of possible reasons for the appearance of heavy-tailed distributions in applications to the natural sciences. These distributions include the laws of Pareto, Lotka, and some new ones. The reasons are illustrated using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-24 Lev B. Klebanov , Yulia V. Kuvaeva

Phylogenetic trees are widely used to understand the evolutionary history of organisms. Tree shapes provide information about macroevolutionary processes. However, macroevolutionary models are unreliable for inferring the true processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly

The Zipf power law and its connection with the inhomogeneity of the system is investigated. We describe the statistical distributions of the domain masses in the Potts model near the temperature-induced phase transition. We found that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-01-06 K. Lukierska-Walasek , K. Topolski

In this paper we introduce and study several multivariate, heavy-tailed distribution classes, and we explore their closure properties and their applications. We consider the class of multivariate, positively decreasing distributions, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We show, that the standard model of phase transition can be unified with the gradient model of phase transitions using the description in terms of the gradient of order parameter. The generalization of the gradient theory of phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-06-21 B. I. Lev , A. G. Zagorodny