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We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

Temporal evolution of a clonal bacterial population is modelled taking into account reversible mutation and selection mechanisms. For the mutation model, an efficient algorithm is proposed to verify whether experimental data can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-03 C. D. Bayliss , C. Fallaize , R. Howitt , M. V. Tretyakov

Phylogenetic trees elucidate evolutionary relationships among species, but phylogenetic inference remains challenging due to the complexity of combining continuous (branch lengths) and discrete parameters (tree topology). Traditional Markov…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 ChenRui Duan , Zelin Zang , Siyuan Li , Yongjie Xu , Stan Z. Li

Phylogenetic networks are a type of directed acyclic graph that represent how a set $X$ of present-day species are descended from a common ancestor by processes of speciation and reticulate evolution. In the absence of reticulate evolution,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-08-11 Andrew Francis , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a simulation-based likelihood-free method applicable to both model selection and parameter estimation. ABC parameter estimation requires the ability to forward simulate datasets from a candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Louis Raynal , Sixing Chen , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Variation in the evolutionary process across the sites of nucleotide sequence alignments is well established, and is an increasingly pervasive feature of datasets composed of gene regions sampled from multiple loci and/or different genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-04 Brian R. Moore , Jim McGuire , Fredrik Ronquist , John P. Huelsenbeck

The algebraic properties of flattenings and subflattenings provide direct methods for identifying edges in the true phylogeny -- and by extension the complete tree -- using pattern counts from a sequence alignment. The relatively small…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-06 Joshua Stevenson , Barbara Holland , Michael Charleston , Jeremy Sumner

Reconciling a gene tree with a species tree is an important task that reveals much about the evolution of genes, genomes, and species, as well as about the molecular function of genes. A wide array of computational tools have been devised…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Yun Yu , Luay Nakhleh

Evolution is a process that is influenced by various environmental factors, e.g. the interactions between different species, genes, and biogeographical properties. Hence, it is interesting to study the combined evolutionary history of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-02 Nicolas Wieseke , Matthias Bernt , Martin Middendorf

A number of methods have been developed to infer differential rates of species diversification through time and among clades using time-calibrated phylogenetic trees. However, we lack a general framework that can delineate and quantify…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

There have been many studies to examine whether one trait is correlated with another trait across a group of present-day species (for example, do species with larger brains tend to have longer gestation times. Since the introduction of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-07 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Malgorzata M. O'Reilly

Bayesian Networks (BNs) are of interest from an explainable AI viewpoint, offering transparent probabilistic models for decision support. Baymex is a recently introduced multi-objective evolutionary algorithm for learning discretized BNs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Damy M. F. Ha , Tanja Alderliesten , Peter A. N. Bosman

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

Understanding the evolution of binary traits, which affects the birth and survival of species and also the rate of molecular evolution, remains challenging. A typical example is the evolution of mating systems in plant species. In this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-04 Daniah Tahir , Sylvain Glémin , Martin Lascoux , Ingemar Kaj

Phylogenetic mixture models are statistical models of character evolution allowing for heterogeneity. Each of the classes in some unknown partition of the characters may evolve by different processes, or even along different trees. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-19 John A. Rhodes , Seth Sullivant

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC for short) is a family of computational techniques which offer an almost automated solution in situations where evaluation of the posterior likelihood is computationally prohibitive, or whenever…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Gérard Biau , Frédéric Cérou , Arnaud Guyader

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Compute and memory constraints have historically prevented traffic simulation software users from fully utilizing the predictive models underlying them. When calibrating car-following models, particularly, accommodations have included 1)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-08 Franklin Abodo , Andrew Berthaume , Stephen Zitzow-Childs , Leonardo Bobadilla

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become increasingly prominent as a method for conducting parameter inference in a range of challenging statistical problems, most notably those characterized by an intractable likelihood function.…

We introduce a model for simulating mutation of prokaryote DNA sequences. Using that model we can then evaluated traditional techniques like parsimony and maximum likelihood methods for computing phylogenetic relationships. We also use the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Matthew J. Berryman , Andrew Allison , Derek Abbott
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