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Large sample statistical analysis of threshold autoregressive (TAR) models is usually based on the assumption that the underlying driving noise is uncorrelated. In this paper, we consider a model, driven by Gaussian noise with geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 P. Chigansky , Y. Kutoyants

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We consider the classification problem of a high-dimensional mixture of two Gaussians with general covariance matrices. Using the replica method from statistical physics, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of a general class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Hanwen Huang , Peng Zeng

We study asymptotically normal estimation and confidence regions for low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional sparse models. Our approach is based on the $\ell_1$-penalized M-estimator which is used for construction of a bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-06 Jana Janková , Sara van de Geer

Despite the remarkable empirical success of score-based diffusion models, their statistical guarantees remain underdeveloped. Existing analyses often provide pessimistic convergence rates that do not reflect the intrinsic low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Quentin Berthet , Peter L. Bartlett

Completely randomized experiment is the gold standard for causal inference. When the covariate information for each experimental candidate is available, one typical way is to include them in covariate adjustments for more accurate treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Xin Lu , Fan Yang , Yuhao Wang

Generalization theory has been established for sparse deep neural networks under high-dimensional regime. Beyond generalization, parameter estimation is also important since it is crucial for variable selection and interpretability of deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-27 Dongya Wu , Xin Li

Many scientific and economic problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional time series datasets. However, theoretical studies in high-dimensional statistics to date rely primarily on the assumption of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sumanta Basu , George Michailidis

We consider the problem of uncertainty assessment for low dimensional components in high dimensional models. Specifically, we propose a decorrelated score function to handle the impact of high dimensional nuisance parameters. We consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-22 Yang Ning , Han Liu

Inferring linear dependence between time series is central to our understanding of natural and artificial systems. Unfortunately, the hypothesis tests that are used to determine statistically significant directed or multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Oliver M. Cliff , Leonardo Novelli , Ben D. Fulcher , James M. Shine , Joseph T. Lizier

Inferring causal relationships or related associations from observational data can be invalidated by the existence of hidden confounding. We focus on a high-dimensional linear regression setting, where the measured covariates are affected…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Zijian Guo , Domagoj Ćevid , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Consider the following three important problems in statistical inference, namely, constructing confidence intervals for (1) the error of a high-dimensional ($p>n$) regression estimator, (2) the linear regression noise level, and (3) the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-29 Lucas Janson , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel Candès

Motivated by the simultaneous association analysis with the presence of latent confounders, this paper studies the large-scale hypothesis testing problem for the high-dimensional confounded linear models with both non-asymptotic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Yinrui Sun , Li Ma , Yin Xia

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We show that density models describing multiple observables with (i) hard boundaries and (ii) dependence on external parameters may be created using an auto-regressive Gaussian mixture model. The model is designed to capture how observable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-01 Stephen B. Menary , Darren D. Price

In this paper, we consider inference and uncertainty quantification for low Tucker rank tensors with additive noise in the high-dimensional regime. Focusing on the output of the higher-order orthogonal iteration (HOOI) algorithm, a commonly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Joshua Agterberg , Anru Zhang

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck