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Radar must adapt to changing environments, and we propose changepoint detection as a method to do so. In the world of increasingly congested radio frequencies, radars must adapt to avoid interference. Many radar systems employ the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Samuel Haug , Austin Egbert , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis , Anthony Martone

The paper studies the problem of detecting and locating change points in multivariate time-evolving data. The problem has a long history in statistics and signal processing and various algorithms have been developed primarily for simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Jialiang Geng , George Michailidis

Post-selection inference is a statistical technique for determining salient variables after model or variable selection. Recently, selective inference, a kind of post-selection inference framework, has garnered the attention in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

The problem of quickest change detection is studied, where there is an additional constraint on the cost of observations used before the change point and where the post-change distribution is composite. Minimax formulations are proposed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Multivariate change point detection is the process of identifying distributional shifts in time-ordered data across multiple features. This task is particularly challenging when the number of features is large relative to the number of…

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

We develop a post-selection inference method for the Cox proportional hazards model with interval-censored data, which provides asymptotically valid p-values and confidence intervals conditional on the model selected by lasso. The method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Jianrui Zhang , Chenxi Li , Haolei Weng

Gaussian boson sampling is originally proposed to show quantum advantage with quantum linear optical elements. Recently, several experimental breakthroughs based on Gaussian boson sampling pointing to quantum computing supremacy have been…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-02 Tian-Yu Yang , Yi-Xin Shen , Zhou-Kai Cao , Xiang-Bin Wang

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

In population genetics, there is often interest in inferring selection coefficients. This task becomes more challenging if multiple linked selected loci are considered simultaneously. For such a situation, we propose a novel generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Ritabrata Dutta , Yuehao Xu , Sherman Khoo , Francesca Basini , Andreas Futschik

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

We present a novel scheme to boost detection power for kernel maximum mean discrepancy based sequential change-point detection procedures. Our proposed scheme features an optimal sub-sampling of the history data before the detection…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-19 Song Wei , Chaofan Huang

Mixture models are widely used in Bayesian statistics and machine learning, in particular in computational biology, natural language processing and many other fields. Variational inference, a technique for approximating intractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

Changepoint localization is the problem of estimating the index at which a change occurred in the data generating distribution of an ordered list of data, or declaring that no change occurred. We present the broadly applicable MCP…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai
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