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Underlying the use of statistical approaches for a wide range of applications is the assumption that the probabilities obtained from a statistical model are representative of the "true" probability that event, or outcome, will occur.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Xixin Wu , Mark Gales

Ensembles of neural networks achieve superior performance compared to stand-alone networks in terms of accuracy, uncertainty calibration and robustness to dataset shift. \emph{Deep ensembles}, a state-of-the-art method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sheheryar Zaidi , Arber Zela , Thomas Elsken , Chris Holmes , Frank Hutter , Yee Whye Teh

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

In order to train robust deep learning models, large amounts of labelled data is required. However, in the absence of such large repositories of labelled data, unlabeled data can be exploited for the same. Semi-Supervised learning aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Soumyadeep Ghosh , Sanjay Kumar , Janu Verma , Awanish Kumar

Due to the sweeping digitalization of processes, increasingly vast amounts of time series data are being produced. Accurate classification of such time series facilitates decision making in multiple domains. State-of-the-art classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 David Campos , Miao Zhang , Bin Yang , Tung Kieu , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen

Ensemble methods can deliver surprising performance gains but also bring significantly higher computational costs, e.g., can be up to 2048X in large-scale ensemble tasks. However, we found that the majority of computations in ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Ziyue Li , Kan Ren , Yifan Yang , Xinyang Jiang , Yuqing Yang , Dongsheng Li

Numerous real-world decisions rely on machine learning algorithms and require calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, modern methods often yield overconfident, uncalibrated predictions. The dominant approach to quantifying the…

Ensemble learning use multiple algorithms to obtain better predictive performance than any single one of its constituent algorithms could. With growing popularity of deep learning, researchers have started to ensemble them for various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Ning An , Huitong Ding , Jiaoyun Yang , Rhoda Au , Ting Fang Alvin Ang

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Ensemble Adversarial Training (EAT) attempts to enhance the robustness of models against adversarial attacks by leveraging multiple models. However, current EAT strategies tend to train the sub-models independently, ignoring the cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Li Dengjin , Guo Yanming , Xie Yuxiang , Li Zheng , Chen Jiangming , Li Xiaolong , Lao Mingrui

The congruence between affective experiences and physiological changes has been a debated topic for centuries. Recent technological advances in measurement and data analysis provide hope to solve this epic challenge. Open science and open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Felix Dollack , Kiyoshi Kiyokawa , Huakun Liu , Monica Perusquia-Hernandez , Chirag Raman , Hideaki Uchiyama , Xin Wei

Methods for unsupervised anomaly detection suffer from the fact that the data is unlabeled, making it difficult to assess the optimality of detection algorithms. Ensemble learning has shown exceptional results in classification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Edward Yu , Parth Parekh

Many pre-trained models (PTMs) are available in modern applications. Because different PTMs are often trained on different datasets, their performances can vary substantially for different new tasks, and the ranking of the candidates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ziwen Gao , Baihua He , Yuhong Yang

This paper presents an ensemble forecasting method that shows strong results on the M4 Competition dataset by decreasing feature and model selection assumptions, termed DONUT (DO Not UTilize human beliefs). Our assumption reductions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Lars Lien Ankile , Kjartan Krange

In the low-data regime, it is difficult to train good supervised models from scratch. Instead practitioners turn to pre-trained models, leveraging transfer learning. Ensembling is an empirically and theoretically appealing way to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Basil Mustafa , Carlos Riquelme , Joan Puigcerver , André Susano Pinto , Daniel Keysers , Neil Houlsby

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit varying strengths and weaknesses across different tasks, prompting recent studies to explore the benefits of ensembling models to leverage their complementary advantages. However, existing LLM ensembling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Yuxuan Yao , Han Wu , Mingyang Liu , Sichun Luo , Xiongwei Han , Jie Liu , Zhijiang Guo , Linqi Song

Ensembles, where multiple neural networks are trained individually and their predictions are averaged, have been shown to be widely successful for improving both the accuracy and predictive uncertainty of single neural networks. However, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Yeming Wen , Dustin Tran , Jimmy Ba

This paper presents a novel approach to binary classification using dynamic logistic ensemble models. The proposed method addresses the challenges posed by datasets containing inherent internal clusters that lack explicit feature-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Mohammad Zubair Khan , David Li

Federated Learning (FL) is a machine learning setting where many devices collaboratively train a machine learning model while keeping the training data decentralized. In most of the current training schemes the central model is refined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Tao Lin , Lingjing Kong , Sebastian U. Stich , Martin Jaggi

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes