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To reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many countries plan to massively expand wind power and solar photovoltaic capacities. These variable renewable energy sources require additional flexibility in the power sector. Both geographical…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-13 Alexander Roth , Wolf-Peter Schill

The rapid expansion of renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, has made reliable forecasting critical for power system operations. While recent deep learning models have achieved strong average accuracy, the increasing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Guozhen Zhang , Yong Li

The growing share of renewable energy makes the optimization of power flows in power system models computationally more complicated, due to the widely distributed weather-dependent electricity generation. This article evaluates two methods…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Oriol Raventós , Julian Bartels

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

Resource adequacy studies typically use standard metrics such as Loss of Load Expectation and Expected Energy Unserved to quantify the risk of supply shortfalls. This paper critiques present approaches to adequacy assessment and capacity…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chris J. Dent , Nestor Sanchez , Aditi Shevni , Jim Q. Smith , Amy L. Wilson , Xuewen Yu

With growing amounts of wind and solar power in the electricity mix of many European countries, understanding and predicting variations of renewable energy generation at multiple timescales is crucial to ensure reliable electricity systems.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Llorenç Lledó , Jaume Ramon , Albert Soret , Francisco-Javier Doblas-Reyes

Recent years have seen an unprecedented growth in the use of sensor data to guide wind farm operations and maintenance. Emerging sensor-driven approaches typically focus on optimal maintenance procedures for single turbine systems, or model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-05 Ilke Bakir , Murat Yildirim , Evrim Ursavas

The high temporal variability of wind power generation represents a major challenge for the realization of a sustainable energy supply. Large backup and storage facilities are necessary to secure the supply in periods of low renewable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Juliane Weber , Jan Wohland , Mark Reyers , Julia Moemken , Charlotte Hoppe , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut

In this article, we investigate mismatch of renewable electricity production to demand and how this is affected by flexibility options on the supply side. We assess the impact of spatial and temporal smoothing on reliability of production…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Aleksander Grochowicz , Fred Espen Benth , Marianne Zeyringer

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

Prospective power supply systems based on Renewable Energy Sources require measures to balance power generation and load at all times. The utilisation of storage devices and backup power plants is widely suggested for this purpose, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-22 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Lars Siemer , Carsten Agert

Potential analyses identify possible locations for renewable energy installations, such as as wind turbines and photovoltaic arrays. The results of previous potential studies, however, are not consistent due to different assumptions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Stanley Risch , Rachel Maier , Junsong Du , Noah Pflugradt , Peter Stenzel , Leander Kotzur , Detlef Stolten

Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yanfei Kang , Wei Cao , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

The share of wind energy in total installed power capacity has grown rapidly in recent years around the world. Producing accurate and reliable forecasts of wind power production, together with a quantification of the uncertainty, is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-26 Amanda Lenzi , Ingelin Steinsland , Pierre Pinson

The variability and intermittency of renewable energy sources pose several challenges for power systems operations, including energy curtailment and price volatility. In power systems with considerable renewable sources, co-variability in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-21 Elnaz Kabir , Vivek Srikrishnan , M. Vivienne Liu , Scott Steinschneider , C. Lindsay Anderson

The resource quality and the temporal generation pattern of variable renewable energy sources vary significantly across Europe. In this paper spatial distributions of renewable assets are explored which exploit this heterogeneity to lower…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-05 Emil H. Eriksen , Leon J. Schwenk-Nebbe , Bo Tranberg , Tom Brown , Martin Greiner

Energy system optimization models are important tools to provide insights regarding trade-offs and interrelations in cost-efficient transformation pathways towards a climate neutral energy system. Using an optimization model of the European…

Wind power generation exhibits a strong temporal variability, which is crucial for system integration in highly renewable power systems. Different methods exist to simulate wind power generation but they often cannot represent the crucial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-04 Juliane Weber , Christopher Zachow , Dirk Witthaut

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski