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The association between two random variables is often of primary interest in statistical research. In this paper semiparametric models for the association between random vectors X and Y are considered which leave the marginal distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-16 Angelika Franke , Gerhard Osius

In the stochastic volatility models for multivariate daily stock returns, it has been found that the estimates of parameters become unstable as the dimension of returns increases. To solve this problem, we focus on the factor structure of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

In this paper, the higher order dynamics of individual illiquid stocks are investigated. We show that considering the classical powers correlation could lead to a spurious assessment of the volatility persistency or long memory volatility…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Valentin Patilea , Hamdi Raïssi

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

Markov Chain Monte Carlo is repeatedly used to analyze the properties of intractable distributions in a convenient way. In this paper we derive conditions for geometric ergodicity of a general class of nonparametric stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-09 Jerzy P. Rydlewski , Małgorzata Snarska

We obtain results on both weak and almost sure asymptotic behaviour of power variations of a linear combination of independent Wiener process and fractional Brownian motion. These results are used to construct strongly consistent parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-20 Marco Dozzi , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

The $GARCH$ algorithm is the most renowned generalisation of Engle's original proposal for modelising {\it returns}, the $ARCH$ process. Both cases are characterised by presenting a time dependent and correlated variance or {\it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Constantino Tsallis

This paper proposes an innovative threshold measurement equation to be employed in a Realized-GARCH framework. The proposed framework incorporates a nonlinear threshold regression specification to consider the leverage effect and model the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

Markov regime switching models have been widely used in numerous empirical applications in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has not been proven for some empirically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Network data appear in a number of applications, such as online social networks and biological networks, and there is growing interest in both developing models for networks as well as studying the properties of such data. Since individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-23 Diana Cai , Tamara Broderick

HYGARCH process is the commonly used long memory process in modeling the long-rang dependence in volatility. Financial time series are characterized by transition between phases of different volatility levels. The smooth transition HYGARCH…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-24 Ferdous Mohammadi , Saeid Rezakhah

We combine geometric data analysis and stochastic modeling to describe the collective dynamics of complex systems. As an example we apply this approach to financial data and focus on the non-stationarity of the market correlation structure.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-30 Yuriy Stepanov , Philip Rinn , Thomas Guhr , Joachim Peinke , Rudi Schäfer

The aim of this paper is to provide a new estimator of parameters for LARCH$(\infty)$ processes, and thus also for LARCH$(p)$ or GLARCH$(p,q)$ processes. This estimator results from minimising a contrast leading to a least squares estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Jean-Marc Bardet

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

This paper derives the analytic form of the $h$-step ahead prediction density of a GARCH(1,1) process under Gaussian innovations, with a possibly asymmetric news impact curve. The contributions of the paper consists both in the derivation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Karim M. Abadir , Alessandra Luati , Paolo Paruolo

We study the $k$-largest eigenvalues of heavy-tailed sample covariance matrices of the form $\bX\bX^\T$ in an asymptotic framework, where the dimension of the data and the sample size tend to infinity. To this end, we assume that the rows…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel

Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are suggested for modeling the cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes. The stochastic processes considered are geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models. Geometric Brownian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-30 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr