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Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

We developed a new approach for the analysis of physiological time series. An iterative convolution filter is used to decompose the time series into various components. Statistics of these components are extracted as features to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-24 Dong Mao , Yang Wang , Qiang Wu

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Most data processing techniques, applied to biomedical and sociological time series, are only valid for random fluctuations that are stationary in time. Unfortunately, these data are often non stationary and the use of techniques of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Ignaccolo , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , P. Hamilton , B. J. West

We introduce Extrema-Segmented Entropy (ExSEnt), a feature-decomposed framework for quantifying time-series complexity that separates temporal from amplitude contributions. The method partitions a signal into monotonic segments by detecting…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Sara Kamali , Fabiano Baroni , Pablo Varona

A new Lossy Causal Temporal Convolutional Neural Network Autoencoder for anomaly detection is proposed in this work. Our framework uses a rate-distortion loss and an entropy bottleneck to learn a compressed latent representation for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Christopher P. Ley , Jorge F. Silva

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) is essential for uncovering rare and potentially harmful events in unlabeled time series data. Existing methods are highly dependent on clean, high-quality inputs, making them susceptible to noise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Sinchee Chin , Fan Zhang , Xiaochen Yang , Jing-Hao Xue , Wenming Yang , Peng Jia , Guijin Wang , Luo Yingqun

We propose criteria that define a trend for time series with inherent multi-scale features. We call this trend the {\it tendency} of a time series. The tendency is defined empirically by a set of criteria and captures the large-scale…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-19 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani , Darin Comeau , Hermann Flaschka

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

We consider the problem of mining signal temporal logical requirements from a dataset of regular (good) and anomalous (bad) trajectories of a dynamical system. We assume the training set to be labeled by human experts and that we have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Laura Nenzi , Simone Silvetti , Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi

The all-relevant problem of feature selection is the identification of all strongly and weakly relevant attributes. This problem is especially hard to solve for time series classification and regression in industrial applications such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Maximilian Christ , Andreas W. Kempa-Liehr , Michael Feindt

Approximate variational inference has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling unknown complex probability distributions. Recent advances in the field allow us to learn probabilistic models of sequences that actively exploit spatial and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Marvin Ludersdorfer , Patrick van der Smagt

Time series forecasting is essential in a wide range of real world applications. Recently, frequency-domain methods have attracted increasing interest for their ability to capture global dependencies. However, when applied to non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Zhongde An , Jinhong You , Jiyanglin Li , Yiming Tang , Wen Li , Heming Du , Shouguo Du

Universal time series representation learning is challenging but valuable in real-world applications such as classification, anomaly detection, and forecasting. Recently, contrastive learning (CL) has been actively explored to tackle time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Namwoo Kim , Hyungryul Baik , Yoonjin Yoon

The objective of this work is to improve the accuracy of building demand forecasting. This is a more challenging task than grid level forecasting. For the said purpose, we develop a new technique called recurrent transform learning (RTL).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Megha Gupta , Angshul Majumdar

We present an end-to-end differentiable neural network architecture to perform anomaly detection in multivariate time series by incorporating a Sequential Probability Ratio Test on the prediction residual. The architecture is a cascade of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 L. Zancato , A. Achille , G. Paolini , A. Chiuso , S. Soatto

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

Building an accurate load forecasting model with minimal underpredictions is vital to prevent any undesired power outages due to underproduction of electricity. However, the power consumption patterns of the residential sector contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Jihan Ghanim , Maha Issa , Mariette Awad

Robust optimization is a framework for modeling optimization problems involving data uncertainty and during the last decades has been an area of active research. If we focus on linear programming (LP) problems with i) uncertain data, ii)…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Roberto Mínguez , Víctor Casero-Alonso
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