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Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a powerful algorithm for solving complex decision-making problems. This paper presents an optimized MCTS implementation applied to the FrozenLake environment, a classic reinforcement learning task…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Esteban Aldana Guerra

Navigation in dynamic environments requires autonomous systems to reason about uncertainties in the behavior of other agents. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework that combines trajectory planning with multimodal predictions and…

Popular Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithms for online planning, such as epsilon-greedy tree search and UCT, aim at rapidly identifying a reasonably good action, but provide rather poor worst-case guarantees on performance improvement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Zohar Feldman , Carmel Domshlak

We present a novel approach for risk-aware planning with human agents in multi-agent traffic scenarios. Our approach takes into account the wide range of human driver behaviors on the road, from aggressive maneuvers like speeding and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Rohan Chandra , Mingyu Wang , Mac Schwager , Dinesh Manocha

The combination of Monte Carlo tree search and neural networks has revolutionized online planning. As neural network approximations are often imperfect, we ask whether uncertainty estimates about the network outputs could be used to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nir Greshler , David Ben Eli , Carmel Rabinovitz , Gabi Guetta , Liran Gispan , Guy Zohar , Aviv Tamar

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Motion planners take uncertain information about the environment as an input. The environment information is often quite noisy and has a tendency to contain false positive object detection. State-of-the-art motion planners consider all…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Omer Sahin Tas , Christoph Stiller

Safety evaluation of self-driving technologies has been extensively studied. One recent approach uses Monte Carlo based evaluation to estimate the occurrence probabilities of safety-critical events as safety measures. These Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Zhiyuan Huang , Mansur Arief , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

It has been for a long time to use big data of autonomous vehicles for perception, prediction, planning, and control of driving. Naturally, it is increasingly questioned why not using this big data for risk management and actuarial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-16 Jiamin Yu

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

We describe a robust planning method for autonomous driving that mixes normal and adversarial agent predictions output by a diffusion model trained for motion prediction. We first train a diffusion model to learn an unbiased distribution of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Albert Zhao , Stefano Soatto

Hazardous environments such as chemical spills, radiological zones, and bio-contaminated sites pose significant threats to human safety and public infrastructure. Rapid and reliable hazard mitigation in these settings often unsafe for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Jimin Choi , Max Z. Li

Future urban transportation concepts include a mixture of ground and air vehicles with varying degrees of autonomy in a congested environment. In such dynamic environments, occupancy maps alone are not sufficient for safe path planning.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Beltran Hatch , Jason Zheng , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In this work, we develop the Batch Belief Trees (BBT) algorithm for motion planning under motion and sensing uncertainties. The algorithm interleaves between batch sampling, building a graph of nominal trajectories in the state space, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Dongliang Zheng , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Sharing information between connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) fundamentally improves the performance of collaborative object detection for self-driving. However, CAVs still have uncertainties on object detection due to practical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Sanbao Su , Yiming Li , Sihong He , Songyang Han , Chen Feng , Caiwen Ding , Fei Miao

Perception is a safety-critical function of autonomous vehicles and machine learning (ML) plays a key role in its implementation. This position paper identifies (1) perceptual uncertainty as a performance measure used to define safety…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Krzysztof Czarnecki , Rick Salay

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to create a tactical decision-making agent for autonomous driving. However, previous approaches only output decisions and do not provide information about the agent's confidence in the recommended…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Carl-Johan Hoel , Krister Wolff , Leo Laine

Safely deploying robots in uncertain and dynamic environments requires a systematic accounting of various risks, both within and across layers in an autonomy stack from perception to motion planning and control. Many widely used motion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-10 Venkatraman Renganathan , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

We consider a class of partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with uncertain transition and/or observation probabilities. The uncertainty takes the form of probability intervals. Such uncertain POMDPs can be used, for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Ufuk Topcu
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