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Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

In this paper we describe a combined combinatorial/numerical approach to studying equilibria and bifurcations in network models arising in Systems Biology. ODE models of the dynamics suffer from high dimensional parameters which presents a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Shane Kepley , Konstantin Mischaikow , Elena Queirolo

The goal of this paper is to investigate distributed temporal difference (TD) learning for a networked multi-agent Markov decision process. The proposed approach is based on distributed optimization algorithms, which can be interpreted as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Han-Dong Lim , Donghwan Lee

Background. Health economic evaluations of interventions against infectious diseases are commonly based on the predictions of ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems or Markov models (MMs). Standard MMs are static, whereas ODE systems…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Katrin Haeussler , Ardo van den Hout , Gianluca Baio

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

A large number of different model checking approaches has been proposed during the last decade. The different approaches are applicable to different model types including untimed, timed, probabilistic and stochastic models. This paper…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter Buchholz , Peter Kemper

Given its ability to analyse stochastic models ranging from discrete and continuous-time Markov chains to Markov decision processes and stochastic games, probabilistic model checking (PMC) is widely used to verify system dependability and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Radu Calinescu , Sinem Getir Yaman , Simos Gerasimou , Gricel Vázquez , Micah Bassett

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

In this paper, we consider stochastic versions of three classical growth models given by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Indeed we use stochastic versions of Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic differential equations as models.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 F. Baltazar-Larios , F. J. Delgado-Vences , A. Ornelas Vargas

Modeling relations between individuals is a classical question in social sciences and clustering individuals according to the observed patterns of interactions allows to uncover a latent structure in the data. Stochastic block model (SBM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Pierre Barbillon , Sophie Donnet , Emmanuel Lazega , Avner Bar-Hen

Fitting models to data to obtain distributions of consistent parameter values is important for uncertainty quantification, model comparison, and prediction. Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approaches for fitting ordinary…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-05 Chris Chi , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

Hazard functions play a central role in survival analysis, providing insight into the underlying risk dynamics of time-to-event data, with broad applications in medicine, epidemiology, and related fields. First-order ordinary differential…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-02 Dananjani Liyanage , Mahmudul Bari Hridoy , Fahad Mostafa

Gene regulatory networks with dynamics characterized by multiple stable states underlie cell fate-decisions. Quantitative models that can link molecular-level knowledge of gene regulation to a global understanding of network dynamics have…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-19 Brian K. Chu , Margaret J. Tse , Royce R. Sato , Elizabeth L. Read

Stochastic models such as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and Stochastic Hybrid Automata (SHA) are powerful formalisms to model and to reason about the dynamics of biological systems, due to their ability to capture the stochasticity…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Laura Nenzi , Guido Sanguinetti

Despite their success, Machine Learning (ML) models do not generalize effectively to data not originating from the training distribution. To reliably employ ML models in real-world healthcare systems and avoid inaccurate predictions on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohammad Azizmalayeri , Ameen Abu-Hanna , Giovanni Ciná

Gene regulatory networks are typically modeled using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with phenomenological Hill functions to represent transcriptional regulation. While computationally efficient, Hill functions lack mechanistic…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Tianyu Wu

This paper presents a Distributed Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm for networks of linear systems with multiplicative uncertainties and local chance constraints on the states and control inputs. The chance constraints are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu