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Consider the Markov process taking values in the partitions of N such that each pair of blocks merges at rate one, and each integer is eroded, i.e., becomes a singleton block, at rate d. This is a special case of exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

Consider a population of fixed size that evolves over time. At each time, the genealogical structure of the population can be described by a coalescent tree whose branches are traced back to the most recent common ancestor of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Jason Schweinsberg

Kingman's coalescent is a widely used process to model sample genealogies in population genetics. Recently there have been studies on the inference of quantities related to the genealogy of additional individuals given a known sample. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Linglong Yuan

We analyse sequential Markov coalescent algorithms for populations with demographic structure: for a bottleneck model, a population-divergence model, and for a two-island model with migration. The sequential Markov coalescent method is an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 A. Eriksson , B. Mahjani , B. Mehlig

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

We prove several limit theorems that relate coalescent processes to continuous-state branching processes. Some of these theorems are stated in terms of the so-called generalized Fleming-Viot processes, which describe the evolution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin , Jean-François Le Gall

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

The notion of stability can be generalised to point processes by defining the scaling operation in a randomised way: scaling a configuration by $t$ corresponds to letting such a configuration evolve according to a Markov branching particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Giacomo Zanella , Sergei Zuyev

Consider a haploid population which has evolved through an exchangeable reproduction dynamics, and in which all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A_t$, say. As time goes on, not only…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Pfaffelhuber , A. Wakolbinger

Birkner et al. obtained necessary and sufficient conditions for the frequency between two independent and identically distributed continuous-state branching processes time-changed by a functional of the total mass process to be a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Adrián González Casanova , Imanol Nuñez , J. -L. Pérez

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

We define a Markov process in a forward population model with backward genealogy given by the $\Lambda$-coalescent. This Markov process, called the fixation line, is related to the block counting process through its hitting times. Two…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Olivier Hénard

Consider the population model with infinite size associated to subcritical continuous-state branching processes (CSBP). Individuals reproduce independently according to the same subcritical offspring distribution. We study the long-term…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Clément Foucart , Martin Möhle

Coalescent theory is the study of random processes where particles may join each other to form clusters as time evolves. These notes provide an introduction to some aspects of the mathematics of coalescent processes and their applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-23 Nathanael Berestycki

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

Bertoin and Le Gall (2003) introduced a certain probability measure valued Markov process that describes the evolution of a population, such that a sample from this population would exhibit a genealogy given by the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber