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This paper is concerned with a central limit theorem for quadratic variation when observations come as exit times from a regular grid. We discuss the special case of a semimartingale with deterministic characteristics and finite activity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Mathias Vetter , Tobias Zwingmann

In this paper we revisit an open problem posed by Aldous on the max-entropy win-probability martingale: given two players of equal strength, such that the win-probability is a martingale diffusion, which of these processes has maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Gaoyue Guo , Sam D. Howison , Dylan Possamaï , Christoph Reisinger

Programs with randomization constructs is an active research topic, especially after the recent introduction of martingale-based analysis methods for their termination and runtimes. Unlike most of the existing works that focus on proving…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Satoshi Kura , Natsuki Urabe , Ichiro Hasuo

We prove a robust super-hedging duality result for path-dependent options on assets with jumps, in a continuous time setting. It requires that the collection of martingale measures is rich enough and that the payoff function satisfies some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

For spectrally positive L\'evy processes killed on exiting the half-line, existence of a quasi-stationary distribution is characterized by the exponential integrability of the exit time, the Laplace exponent and the non-negativity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-16 Kosuke Yamato

In a recent work \cite{BG}, given a collection of continuous semimartingales, authors derive a semimartingale decomposition from the corresponding ranked processes in the case that the ranked processes can meet more than two original…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Raouf Ghomrasni , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

Let U be an open set in R^d. We show that under a mild assumption on the richness of the generator a Feller process in U with (predictable) killing is a semimartingale. To this end we generalize the notion of semimartingales in a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr

We study quantitative asymptotics of planar random walks that are spatially non-homogeneous but whose mean drifts have some regularity. Specifically, we study the first exit time $\tau_\alpha$ from a wedge with apex at the origin and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

In this article the almost semi-continuous step-process $\xi (t)$ is considered. The conditional characteristic functions of the jumps of $\xi (t)$ have the form $\mathrm{E} [ e^{i\alpha \xi_k}/\xi_k>0 ]=c(c-i\alpha)^{-1}$. For such…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 D. V. Gusak , E. V. Karnaukh

We introduce several martingale changes of measure of the law of the exit measure of super Brownian motion. These changes of measure include and generalize one arising by conditioning the exit measures to charge a point on the boun dary of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Thomas S. Salisbury , John Verzani

In this paper we describe the asymptotic behavior, in the exponential time scale, of solutions to quasi-linear parabolic equations with a small parameter at the second order term and the long time behavior of corresponding diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-03 M. Freidlin , L. Koralov

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

We construct a family of non-Gaussian martingales the marginals of which are all Gaussian. We give the predictable quadratic variation of these processes and show they do not have continuous paths. These processes are Markovian and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner

In this article we relate the set of structure preserving equivalent martingale measures $(\mathcal{M})$ for financial models driven by semimartingales with conditionally independent increments to a set of measurable and integrable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 David Criens

This paper is concerned with tests for changes in the jump behaviour of a time-continuous process. Based on results on weak convergence of a sequential empirical tail integral process, asymptotics of certain tests statistics for breaks in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 Axel Bücher , Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Consideration of some perturbatively calculated gauge-invariant expectation values of local noncomposite operators in pure Yang-Mills theory indicates that those expectation values which are not dimension specific, and which are well…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Rajesh R. Parwani

The predictive Bayesian view involves eliciting a sequence of one-step-ahead predictive distributions in lieu of specifying a likelihood function and prior distribution. Recent methods have leveraged predictive distributions which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Yiu Yin Yung , Stephen M. S. Lee , Edwin Fong

This is a preprint of Chapter 2 in the following work: Marta Lewicka, A Course on Tug-of-War Games with Random Noise, 2020, Springer, reproduced with permission of Springer Nature Switzerland AG. We present the basic relation between the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Marta Lewicka

We exhibit conditions under which the flow of marginal distributions of a discontinuous semimartingale $\xi$ can be matched by a Markov process, whose infinitesimal generator is expressed in terms of the local characteristics of $\xi$. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-17 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont