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Large language models (LLMs) offer a generalizable approach for modeling patient trajectories, but suffer from the long and noisy nature of electronic health records (EHR) data in temporal reasoning. To address these challenges, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Sihang Zeng , Yujuan Fu , Sitong Zhou , Zixuan Yu , Lucas Jing Liu , Jun Wen , Matthew Thompson , Ruth Etzioni , Meliha Yetisgen

Understanding the spread of COVID-19 has been the subject of numerous studies, highlighting the significance of reliable epidemic models. Here, we introduce a novel epidemic model using a latent Hawkes process with temporal covariates for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Axel Gandy , Emma McCoy

Dynamic epidemic models have proven valuable for public health decision makers as they provide useful insights into the understanding and prevention of infectious diseases. However, inference for these types of models can be difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-30 Theresa Stocks

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) affects nearly 10\% of the global population and often progresses to end-stage renal failure. Accurate prognosis prediction is vital for timely interventions and resource optimization. We present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Yohan Lee , DongGyun Kang , SeHoon Park , Sa-Yoon Park , Kwangsoo Kim

This paper presents a novel approach to simulating electronic health records (EHRs) using diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs). Specifically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of DPMs in synthesising longitudinal EHRs that capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Nicholas I-Hsien Kuo , Louisa Jorm , Sebastiano Barbieri

We address the problem of predicting when a disease will develop, i.e., medical event time (MET), from a patient's electronic health record (EHR). The MET of non-communicable diseases like diabetes is highly correlated to cumulative health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Takayuki Katsuki , Kohei Miyaguchi , Akira Koseki , Toshiya Iwamori , Ryosuke Yanagiya , Atsushi Suzuki

Hidden Markov jump processes are an attractive approach for modeling clinical disease progression data because they are explainable and capable of handling both irregularly sampled and noisy data. Most applications in this context consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Rui Meng , Soper Braden , Jan Nygard , Mari Nygrad , Herbert Lee

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) contain a large volume of heterogeneous patient data, which are useful at the point of care and for retrospective research. These data are typically stored in relational databases. Gaining an integrated view…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Dina Levy-Lambert , Jen J. Gong , Tristan Naumann , Tom J. Pollard , John V. Guttag

Forecasting how a patient's condition is likely to evolve, including possible deterioration, recovery, treatment needs, and care transitions, could support more proactive and personalized care, but requires modeling heterogeneous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Chantal Pellegrini , Ege Özsoy , David Bani-Harouni , Matthias Keicher , Nassir Navab

Medical researchers are coming to appreciate that many diseases are in fact complex, heterogeneous syndromes composed of subpopulations that express different variants of a related complication. Time series data extracted from individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-30 Peter Schulam , Raman Arora

Predicting health risks from electronic health records (EHR) is a topic of recent interest. Deep learning models have achieved success by modeling temporal and feature interaction. However, these methods learn insufficient representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Zhihao Yu , Chaohe Zhang , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang , Liantao Ma

The availability of a large amount of electronic health records (EHR) provides huge opportunities to improve health care service by mining these data. One important application is clinical endpoint prediction, which aims to predict whether…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Luchen Liu , Jianhao Shen , Ming Zhang , Zichang Wang , Jian Tang

In epidemiological and clinical studies, identifying patients' phenotypes based on longitudinal profiles is critical to understanding the disease's developmental patterns. The current study was motivated by data from a Canadian birth cohort…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zhiwen Tan , Chang Shen , Padmaja Subbarao , Wendy Lou , Zihang Lu

We search for digital biomarkers from Parkinson's Disease by observing approximate repetitive patterns matching hypothesized step and stride periodic cycles. These observations were modeled as a cycle of hidden states with randomness…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-15 Avinash Bukkittu , Baihan Lin , Trung Vu , Itsik Pe'er

Disease progression models are widely used to inform the diagnosis and treatment of many progressive diseases. However, a significant limitation of existing models is that they do not account for health disparities that can bias the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Erica Chiang , Divya Shanmugam , Ashley N. Beecy , Gabriel Sayer , Deborah Estrin , Nikhil Garg , Emma Pierson

Machine learning models deployed in healthcare systems face data drawn from continually evolving environments. However, researchers proposing such models typically evaluate them in a time-agnostic manner, with train and test splits sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Helen Zhou , Yuwen Chen , Zachary C. Lipton

Electronic health record (EHR) data are becoming an increasingly common data source for understanding clinical risk of acute events. While their longitudinal nature presents opportunities to observe changing risk over time, these analyses…

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

Understanding the latent processes from Electronic Medical Records could be a game changer in modern healthcare. However, the processes are complex due to the interaction between at least three dynamic components: the illness, the care and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh
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