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Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

Learning precise surrogate models of complex computer simulations and physical machines often require long-lasting or expensive experiments. Furthermore, the modeled physical dependencies exhibit nonlinear and nonstationary behavior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Matthias Bitzer , Mona Meister , Christoph Zimmer

In this paper, we show that the presence of nonlinear coupling between time series may be detected employing kernel feature space representations alone dispensing with the need to go back to solve the pre-image problem to gauge model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-24 Lucas Massaroppe , Luiz A. Baccalá

We consider the kernel partial least squares algorithm for non-parametric regression with stationary dependent data. Probabilistic convergence rates of the kernel partial least squares estimator to the true regression function are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Axel Munk

We introduce a data-driven order reduction method for nonlinear control systems, drawing on recent progress in machine learning and statistical dimensionality reduction. The method rests on the assumption that the nonlinear system behaves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Jake Bouvrie , Boumediene Hamzi

We consider the problem of modeling, estimating, and controlling the latent state of a spatiotemporally evolving continuous function using very few sensor measurements and actuator locations. Our solution to the problem consists of two…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Hassan A. Kingravi , Harshal Maske , Girish Chowdhary

Kernel-based methods have been recently introduced for linear system identification as an alternative to parametric prediction error methods. Adopting the Bayesian perspective, the impulse response is modeled as a non-stationary Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Mattia Zorzi , Alessandro Chiuso

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

Machine learning models can represent climate processes that are nonlocal in horizontal space, height, and time, often by combining information across these dimensions in highly nonlinear ways. While this can improve predictive skill, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Savannah L. Ferretti , Jerry Lin , Sara Shamekh , Jane W. Baldwin , Michael S. Pritchard , Tom Beucler

Many scientific problems require identifying a small set of covariates that are associated with a target response and estimating their effects. Often, these effects are nonlinear and include interactions, so linear and additive methods can…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-02 Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick

Gaussian processes provide a flexible, non-parametric framework for the approximation of functions in high-dimensional spaces. The covariance kernel is the main engine of Gaussian processes, incorporating correlations that underpin the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Dionissios T. Hristopulos

We propose a nonparametric bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal measurements with the occurrence of a terminal event that is subject to right censoring. The time-varying coefficients capture the longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Yue Wang , Bin Nan , Jack D. Kalbfleisch

We develop two new classes of space-time Gaussian process models by specifying covariance functions using what we call a half-spectral representation. The half-spectral representation of a covariance function, $K$, is a special case of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-07 Michael T. Horrell , Michael L. Stein

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Mark D. Risser

This paper presents a new spatial-temporal nonlocal traffic flow model formulated to overcome the boundedness limitations inherent in classical local formulations. The model introduces an adaptive kernel that captures both spatial and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Animesh Biswas , Archie Huang , Shaurya Agarwal , Christopher Housholder

Multivariate spatial-statistical models are often used when modeling environmental and socio-demographic processes. The most commonly used models for multivariate spatial covariances assume both stationarity and symmetry for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Magda Gregorová , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

One central theme in machine learning is function estimation from sparse and noisy data. An example is supervised learning where the elements of the training set are couples, each containing an input location and an output response. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alberto Giaretta , Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

The robust distributed state estimation for a class of continuous-time linear time-invariant systems is achieved by a novel kernel-based distributed observer, which, for the first time, ensures fixed-time convergence properties. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-21 Pudong Ge , Peng Li , Boli Chen , Fei Teng