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Evaluation metrics for prediction error, model selection and model averaging on space-time data are understudied and poorly understood. The absence of independent replication makes prediction ambiguous as a concept and renders evaluation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Gregory L. Watson , Colleen E. Reid , Michael Jerrett , Donatello Telesca

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) are used in a wide range of underwater applications, ranging from seafloor mapping to industrial operations. While underwater, the AUV navigation solution commonly relies on the fusion between inertial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Zeev Yampolsky , Itzik Klein

The climatic challenges are rising across the globe in general and in worst hit under-developed countries in particular. The need for accurate measurements and forecasting of pollutants with low-cost deployment is more pertinent today than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Yousuf Hashmy , ZillUllah Khan , Rehan Hafiz , Usman Younis , Tausif Tauqeer

Observational studies often use linear regression to assess the effect of ambient air pollution on outcomes of interest, such as human health indicators or crop yields. Yet pollution datasets are typically noisy and include only a subset of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-08 Dan M. Kluger , David B. Lobell , Art B. Owen

With the growing application of spatial predictive modeling in ecology, the question of how to appropriately evaluate the resulting maps has gained increasing attention. While there is consensus that map accuracy is ideally estimated using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Jan Linnenbrink , Jakub Nowosad , Hanna Meyer

Air pollution constitutes a global problem of paramount importance that affects not only human health, but also the environment. The existence of spatial and temporal data regarding the concentrations of pollutants is crucial for performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Teresa Bernardino , Maria Alexandra Oliveira , João Nuno Silva

In this work we analyze a measurement-device-independent (MDI) protocol to establish continuous-variable (CV) quantum key distribution (QKD) between two ground stations. We assume communication occurs between the ground stations via…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Nedasadat Hosseinidehaj , Robert Malaney

The new method for aerosol measurement using wide-field stellar photometry was originally developed for B-filter data. The dependence of VAOD (vertical aerosol optical depth) on wavelength can be used to understand the physical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-06 Shefali Negi , Jan Ebr , Sergey Karpov , Jiří Eliášek

Dose-Response Functions (DRFs) are widely used in estimating corrosion and/or soiling levels of materials used in constructions and cultural monuments. These functions quantify the effects of air pollution and environmental parameters on…

K-fold cross-validation (CV) with squared error loss is widely used for evaluating predictive models, especially when strong distributional assumptions cannot be taken. However, CV with squared error loss is not free from distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

Oxidative potential (OP), which measures particulate matter's (PM) capacity to induce oxidative stress in the lungs, is increasingly recognized as an indicator of PM toxicity. Since OP is not routinely monitored, it can be challenging to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Ian Hough , Loïc Argentier , Ziyang Jiang , Tongshu Zheng , Mike Bergin , David Carlson , Jean-Luc Jaffrezo , Jocelyn Chanussot , Gaëlle Uzu

Air pollution is a vital issue emerging from the uncontrolled utilization of traditional energy sources as far as developing countries are concerned. Hence, ingenious air pollution forecasting methods are indispensable to minimize the risk.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Dhanalakshmi M , Radha V

Accurate estimation of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is crucial for understanding climate change and its impacts on public health, as aerosols are a measure of air quality conditions. AOD is usually retrieved from satellite imagery at coarse…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Paula Moraga

This study presents an extended analysis of aerosol optical depth at 501 nm (AOD) in the Alpine valley of Innsbruck, Austria, from 2007 to 2023, and offers a comparative analysis with the Alpine station of Davos, Switzerland. AOD is derived…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-01 Jochen Wagner , Alma Anna Ubele , Verena Schenzinger , Axel Kreuter

High-resolution soil moisture (SM) observations are critical for agricultural monitoring, forestry management, and hazard prediction, yet current satellite passive microwave missions cannot directly provide retrievals at tens-of-meter…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Runze Zhang , Ishfaq Aziz , Derek Houtz , Yuxiang Zhao , Trent W. Ford , Adam C. Watts , Mohamad Alipour

Integration of Visual Inertial Odometry (VIO) methods into a modular control system designed for deployment of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and teams of cooperating UAVs in real-world conditions are presented in this paper. Reliability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Jan Bednář , Matěj Petrlík , Kelen Cristiane Teixeira Vivaldini , Martin Saska

Chemical multisensor devices need calibration algorithms to estimate gas concentrations. Their possible adoption as indicative air quality measurements devices poses new challenges due to the need to operate in continuous monitoring modes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-14 S. De Vito , E. Esposito , M. Salvato , O. Popoola , F. Formisano , R. Jones , G. Di Francia