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Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

An initial screening experiment may lead to ambiguous conclusions regarding the factors which are active in explaining the variation of an outcome variable: thus adding follow-up runs becomes necessary. We propose a fully Bayes objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Guido Consonni , Laura Deldossi

We consider the problem of obtaining D-optimal designs for factorial experiments with a binary response and $k$ qualitative factors each at two levels. We obtain a characterization for a design to be locally D-optimal. Based on this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Jie Yang , Abhyuday Mandal , Dibyen Majumdar

We propose a new approach to sequential testing which is an adaptive (on-line) extension of the (off-line) framework developed in [10]. It relies upon testing of pairs of hypotheses in the case where each hypothesis states that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

Accelerated degradation tests are used to provide accurate estimation of lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products within a relatively short testing time. Data from particular tests at high levels of stress (e.g., temperature,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-07 Helmi Shat , Rainer Schwabe

This paper considers the optimal adaptive allocation of measurement effort for identifying the best among a finite set of options or designs. An experimenter sequentially chooses designs to measure and observes noisy signals of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Daniel Russo

We consider adaptive designs for a trial involving N individuals that we follow along T time steps. We allow for the variables of one individual to depend on its past and on the past of other individuals. Our goal is to learn a mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Aurelien Bibaut , Maya Petersen , Nikos Vlassis , Maria Dimakopoulou , Mark van der Laan

Plant breeding programs use data obtained from multi-environment selection experiments to produce improved varieties with the ultimate aim of maintaining high levels of genetic gain. Selection accuracy can be improved with the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Brian R Cullis , Alison B Smith , David GD Hughes , David Butler

In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Neill Smit , Lizanne Raubenheimer

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

This article discusses D-optimal Bayesian crossover designs for generalized linear models. Crossover trials with t treatments and p periods, for $t <= p$, are considered. The designs proposed in this paper minimize the log determinant of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-16 Satya Prakash Singh , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Asynchronous Bayesian optimization is a recently implemented technique that allows for parallel operation of experimental systems and disjointed workflows. Contrasting with serial Bayesian optimization which individually selects experiments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Amanda A. Volk , Kristofer G. Reyes , Jeffrey G. Ethier , Luke A. Baldwin

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a principled framework for making efficient use of limited experimental resources. Unfortunately, its applicability is hampered by the difficulty of obtaining accurate estimates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Adam Foster , Martin Jankowiak , Eli Bingham , Paul Horsfall , Yee Whye Teh , Tom Rainforth , Noah Goodman

Stochastic process models are now commonly used to analyse complex biological, ecological and industrial systems. Increasingly there is a need to deliver accurate estimates of model parameters and assess model fit by optimizing the timing…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-18 Colin S. Gillespie , Richard J. Boys

It is crucial to design Phase II cancer clinical trials that balance the efficiency of treatment selection with clinical practicality. Sargent and Goldberg proposed a frequentist design that allow decision-making even when the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Moka Komaki , Satoru Shinoda , Haiyan Zheng , Kouji Yamamoto

When the infection prevalence of a disease is low, Dorfman showed 80 years ago that testing groups of people can prove more efficient than testing people individually. Our goal in this paper is to propose new group testing algorithms that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Marco Cuturi , Olivier Teboul , Quentin Berthet , Arnaud Doucet , Jean-Philippe Vert

In real-time systems, priorities assigned to real-time tasks determine the order of task executions, by relying on an underlying task scheduling policy. Assigning optimal priority values to tasks is critical to allow the tasks to complete…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Jaekwon Lee , Seung Yeob Shin , Shiva Nejati , Lionel C. Briand

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

Bayesian Optimization is a useful tool for experiment design. Unfortunately, the classical, sequential setting of Bayesian Optimization does not translate well into laboratory experiments, for instance battery design, where measurements may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jose Pablo Folch , Robert M Lee , Behrang Shafei , David Walz , Calvin Tsay , Mark van der Wilk , Ruth Misener

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan
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