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Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at both forecasting tasks, and at quantifying the uncertainty associated with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L van Zyl

Anomaly detection is a fundamental task for time series analytics with important implications for the downstream performance of many applications. Despite increasing academic interest and the large number of methods proposed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Emmanouil Sylligardos , John Paparrizos , Themis Palpanas , Pierre Senellart , Paul Boniol

With the development of society, time series anomaly detection plays an important role in network and IoT services. However, most existing anomaly detection methods directly analyze time series in the time domain and cannot distinguish some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Yi-Xiang Lu , Xiao-Bo Jin , Jian Chen , Dong-Jie Liu , Guang-Gang Geng

Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) is essential for uncovering rare and potentially harmful events in unlabeled time series data. Existing methods are highly dependent on clean, high-quality inputs, making them susceptible to noise and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Sinchee Chin , Fan Zhang , Xiaochen Yang , Jing-Hao Xue , Wenming Yang , Peng Jia , Guijin Wang , Luo Yingqun

Inferring causal relationships from observational data is crucial when experiments are costly or infeasible. Additive noise models (ANMs) enable unique directed acyclic graph (DAG) identification, but existing sample-efficient ANM methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Sujai Hiremath , Promit Ghosal , Kyra Gan

Google uses continuous streams of data from industry partners in order to deliver accurate results to users. Unexpected drops in traffic can be an indication of an underlying issue and may be an early warning that remedial action may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-15 Dominique T. Shipmon , Jason M. Gurevitch , Paolo M. Piselli , Stephen T. Edwards

Prediction of user traffic in cellular networks has attracted profound attention for improving resource utilization. In this paper, we study the problem of network traffic traffic prediction and classification by employing standard machine…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Amin Azari , Panagiotis Papapetrou , Stojan Denic , Gunnar Peters

Anomaly detection is an active research topic in many different fields such as intrusion detection, network monitoring, system health monitoring, IoT healthcare, etc. However, many existing anomaly detection approaches require either human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Ming-Chang Lee , Jia-Chun Lin , Ernst Gunnar Gran

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) has been a long-standing pillar problem in Web-scale systems and online infrastructures, such as service reliability monitoring, system fault diagnosis, and performance optimization. Large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Xiongxiao Xu , Haoran Wang , Yueqing Liang , Philip S. Yu , Yue Zhao , Kai Shu

Anomalies refer to data points or events that deviate from normal and homogeneous events, which can include fraudulent activities, network infiltrations, equipment malfunctions, process changes, or other significant but infrequent events.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Ahmed Shoyeb Raihan , Imtiaz Ahmed

This paper presents a novel anomaly detection methodology termed Statistical Aggregated Anomaly Detection (SAAD). The SAAD approach integrates advanced statistical techniques with machine learning, and its efficacy is demonstrated through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Dacian Goina , Eduard Hogea , George Maties

We design persistent surveillance strategies for the quickest detection of anomalies taking place in an environment of interest. From a set of predefined regions in the environment, a team of autonomous vehicles collects noisy observations,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-10-15 Vaibhav Srivastava , Fabio Pasqualetti , Francesco Bullo

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin

Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time. Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches. In recent years an increasing number of machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Mohammad Braei , Sebastian Wagner

Anomaly detection is essential for identifying rare and significant events across diverse domains such as finance, cybersecurity, and network monitoring. This paper presents Synthetic Anomaly Monitoring (SAM), an innovative approach that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Emanuele Luzio , Moacir Antonelli Ponti

Given the scarcity of anomalies in real-world applications, the majority of literature has been focusing on modeling normality. The learned representations enable anomaly detection as the normality model is trained to capture certain key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Feng Xue , Weizhong Yan

Logs are semi-structured text files that represent software's execution paths and states during its run-time. Therefore, detecting anomalies in software logs reflect anomalies in the software's execution path or state. So, it has become a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Shayan Hashemi , Mika Mäntylä

Large companies need to monitor various metrics (for example, Page Views and Revenue) of their applications and services in real time. At Microsoft, we develop a time-series anomaly detection service which helps customers to monitor the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Hansheng Ren , Bixiong Xu , Yujing Wang , Chao Yi , Congrui Huang , Xiaoyu Kou , Tony Xing , Mao Yang , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Timely detection of abrupt anomalies is crucial for real-time monitoring and security of modern systems producing high-dimensional data. With this goal, we propose effective and scalable algorithms. Proposed algorithms are nonparametric as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Mehmet Necip Kurt , Yasin Yilmaz , Xiaodong Wang