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Clinical time-series learning is routinely constrained by small, heterogeneous cohorts and protocol drift, while its downstream use spans both classification (e.g., pathology diagnosis) and regression (e.g., temporal forecasting). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Sharmita Dey , Diego Paez-Granados

We present a machine learning pipeline and model that uses the entire uncurated EHR for prediction of in-hospital mortality at arbitrary time intervals, using all available chart, lab and output events, without the need for pre-processing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Jacob Deasy , Pietro Liò , Ari Ercole

Over the past decade, the use of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare applications has rapidly increased. Despite high performance, modern ML models do not always capture patterns the end user requires. For example, a model may…

Deep learning-based health status representation learning and clinical prediction have raised much research interest in recent years. Existing models have shown superior performance, but there are still several major issues that have not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Liantao Ma , Junyi Gao , Yasha Wang , Chaohe Zhang , Jiangtao Wang , Wenjie Ruan , Wen Tang , Xin Gao , Xinyu Ma

Hierarchical random effect models are used for different purposes in clinical research and other areas. In general, the main focus is on population parameters related to the expected treatment effects or group differences among all units of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-07 Maryna Prus , Norbert Benda , Rainer Schwabe

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

We conducted a systematic comparison of statistical methods used for the analysis of time-to-event outcomes under various proportional and nonproportional hazard (NPH) scenarios. Our study used data from recently published oncology trials…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Xinyu Zhang , Erich J. Greene , Ondrej Blaha , Wei Wei

Machine learning systems show significant promise for forecasting patient adverse events via risk scores. However, these risk scores implicitly encode assumptions about future interventions that the patient is likely to receive, based on…

Clinical data for ambulatory care, which accounts for 90% of the nations healthcare spending, is characterized by relatively small sample sizes of longitudinal data, unequal spacing between visits for each patient, with unequal numbers of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Beau Norgeot , Dmytro Lituiev , Benjamin S. Glicksberg , Atul J. Butte

Accurate forecasts are vital for supporting the decisions of modern companies. Forecasters typically select the most appropriate statistical model for each time series. However, statistical models usually presume some data generation…

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

The management of hyperglycemia in hospitalized patients has a significant impact on both morbidity and mortality. Therefore, it is important to predict the need for diabetic patients to be hospitalized. However, using standard machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Shaina Raza

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

Accurate early prediction of in-hospital mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) is essential for timely clinical intervention and efficient resource allocation. This study develops and evaluates machine learning models that integrate both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Nursultan Mamatov , Philipp Kellmeyer

Most statistical tests for treatment effects used in randomized clinical trials with survival outcomes are based on the proportional hazards assumption, which often fails in practice. Data from early exploratory studies may provide evidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Andrea Arfé , Brian Alexander , Lorenzo Trippa

Estimating intervention effects in dynamical systems is crucial for outcome optimization. In medicine, such interventions arise in physiological regulation (e.g., cardiovascular system under fluid administration) and pharmacokinetics, among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Tomer Meir , Ori Linial , Danny Eytan , Uri Shalit

Prediction models need reliable predictive performance as they inform clinical decisions, aiding in diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment planning. The predictive performance of these models is typically assessed through discrimination and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam

Patient healthcare utilization consists of irregularly time-stamped events, such as outpatient visits, inpatient admissions, and emergency encounters, forming individualized care trajectories. Modeling these trajectories is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Saumya Pandey , Varun Chandola

Researchers often face data fusion problems, where multiple data sources are available, each capturing a distinct subset of variables. While problem formulations typically take the data as given, in practice, data acquisition can be an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Shantanu Gupta , Zachary C. Lipton , David Childers

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba