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A simple method for adding uncertainty to neural network regression tasks via estimation of a general probability distribution is described. The methodology supports estimation of heteroscedastic, asymmetric uncertainties by a simple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-16 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes , Nicolas Gordillo

Sparse networks can be found in a wide range of applications, such as biological and communication networks. Inference of such networks from data has been receiving considerable attention lately, mainly driven by the need to understand and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Junyang Jin , Ye Yuan , Jorge Goncalves

Precise estimation of uncertainty in predictions for AI systems is a critical factor in ensuring trust and safety. Deep neural networks trained with a conventional method are prone to over-confident predictions. In contrast to Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Stochastic neurons and hard non-linearities can be useful for a number of reasons in deep learning models, but in many cases they pose a challenging problem: how to estimate the gradient of a loss function with respect to the input of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-16 Yoshua Bengio , Nicholas Léonard , Aaron Courville

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

Bayesian neural networks with latent variables are scalable and flexible probabilistic models: They account for uncertainty in the estimation of the network weights and, by making use of latent variables, can capture complex noise patterns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Sai Munikoti , Deepesh Agarwal , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Discrete Bayesian nonparametric models whose expectation is a convex linear combination of a point mass at some point of the support and a diffuse probability distribution allow to incorporate strong prior information, while still being…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Antonio Canale , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

Continual learning aims to learn new tasks without forgetting previously learned ones. This is especially challenging when one cannot access data from previous tasks and when the model has a fixed capacity. Current regularization-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Sayna Ebrahimi , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Trevor Darrell , Marcus Rohrbach

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have become one of the promising approaches for uncertainty estimation due to the solid theorical foundations. However, the performance of BNNs is affected by the ability of catching uncertainty. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Shiyu Shen , Bin Pan , Tianyang Shi , Tao Li , Zhenwei Shi

This paper addresses the problem of identifying a lower dimensional space where observed data can be sparsely represented. This under-complete dictionary learning task can be formulated as a blind separation problem of sparse sources…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-30 Nicolas Dobigeon , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Weak lensing convergence maps - upon which higher order statistics can be calculated - can be recovered from observations of the shear field by solving the lensing inverse problem. For typical surveys this inverse problem is ill-posed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-08 Matthew A. Price , Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Thomas D. Kitching

Classification of high dimensional data finds wide-ranging applications. In many of these applications equipping the resulting classification with a measure of uncertainty may be as important as the classification itself. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Andrea L. Bertozzi , Xiyang Luo , Andrew M. Stuart , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

Probabilistic convolutional neural networks, which predict distributions of predictions instead of point estimates, led to recent advances in many areas of computer vision, from image reconstruction to semantic segmentation. Besides state…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Josef Lorenz Rumberger , Lisa Mais , Dagmar Kainmueller

Extended Kalman Filtering (EKF) can be used to propagate and quantify input uncertainty through a Deep Neural Network (DNN) assuming mild hypotheses on the input distribution. This methodology yields results comparable to existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Jessica S. Titensky , Hayden Jananthan , Jeremy Kepner

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Due to their high degree of expressiveness, neural networks have recently been used as surrogate models for mapping inputs of an engineering system to outputs of interest. Once trained, neural networks are computationally inexpensive to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Subhayan De , Jolene Britton , Matthew Reynolds , Ryan Skinner , Kenneth Jansen , Alireza Doostan

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Bayesian networks provide a method of representing conditional independence between random variables and computing the probability distributions associated with these random variables. In this paper, we extend Bayesian network structures to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Eric Driver , Darryl Morrell
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