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Model averaging has gained significant attention in recent years due to its ability of fusing information from different models. The critical challenge in frequentist model averaging is the choice of weight vector. The bootstrap method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Minghui Song , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

This study considers regression analysis of a circular response with an error-prone linear covariate. Starting with an existing estimator of the circular regression function that assumes error-free covariate, three approaches are proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Nicholas Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park

Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jiahui Zou , Andrey Vasnev , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

Stacking, a potent ensemble learning method, leverages a meta-model to harness the strengths of multiple base models, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. Traditional stacking techniques typically utilize established learning models, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Wei Wu , Liang Tang , Zhongjie Zhao , Chung-Piaw Teo

Maximum likelihood estimators are often of limited practical use due to the intensive computation they require. We propose a family of alternative estimators that maximize a stochastic variation of the composite likelihood function. Each of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-04 Joshua V Dillon , Guy Lebanon

We study the sample complexity of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) method, which constructs exact, non-asymptotic confidence regions for the true system parameters under mild statistical assumptions, such as independent and symmetric noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Regression calibration is a popular approach for correcting biases in estimated regression parameters when exposure variables are measured with error. This approach involves building a calibration equation to estimate the value of the…

This paper studies the problem of estimating the covariance of a collection of vectors using only highly compressed measurements of each vector. An estimator based on back-projections of these compressive samples is proposed and analyzed. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Martin Azizyan , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Aarti Singh

Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim

In this paper we have proposed a general class of modified regression type estimator in systematic sampling under non-response to estimate the population mean using auxiliary information. The expressions of bias and mean square error (MSE)…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-27 Hemant Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

We study the high-dimensional linear regression problem with categorical predictors that have many levels. We propose a new estimation approach, which performs model compression via two mechanisms by simultaneously encouraging (a)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Kayhan Behdin , Riade Benbaki , Peter Radchenko , Rahul Mazumder

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

Modern statistical analysis often encounters high-dimensional problems but with a limited sample size. It poses great challenges to traditional statistical estimation methods. In this work, we adopt auxiliary learning to solve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Hanchao Yan , Feifei Wang , Chuanxin Xia , Hansheng Wang

Power sector capacity expansion models (CEMs) that are used for studying future low-carbon grid scenarios must incorporate detailed representation of grid operations. Often CEMs are formulated to model grid operations over representative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Marc Barbar , Dharik S. Mallapragada

In regression models fitted to data from complex survey designs, sampling weights often incorporate non-essential variation, inflating variance estimates. Stabilized weights mitigate this issue by adjusting sampling weights to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Tong Chen , Joshua Slone , Gustavo Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

In this paper we apply Conformal Prediction (CP) to the k-Nearest Neighbours Regression (k-NNR) algorithm and propose ways of extending the typical nonconformity measure used for regression so far. Unlike traditional regression methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Harris Papadopoulos , Vladimir Vovk , Alex Gammerman

We propose an algorithm to construct optimal exact designs (EDs). Most of the work in the optimal regression design literature focuses on the approximate design (AD) paradigm due to its desired properties, including the optimality…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Julie Zhou
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