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We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

Many modern spatio-temporal data sets, in sociology, epidemiology or seismology, for example, exhibit self-exciting characteristics, triggering and clustering behaviors both at the same time, that a suitable Hawkes space-time process can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Emilia Siviero , Guillaume Staerman , Stephan Clémençon , Thomas Moreau

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

We develop a comprehensive framework for spatio-temporal prediction of time-varying vector fields using operator-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (OV RKHS). By integrating Sobolev regularity with Koopman operator theory, we…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Mahishanka Withanachchi

In this paper, we develop a computationally efficient discrete approximation to log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models for the analysis of spatially aggregated disease count data. Our approach overcomes an inherent limitation of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Olatunji Johnson , Peter Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra

Spatial scan statistics are well known and widely used methods for the detection of spatial clusters of events. In the field of spatial analysis of time-to-event data, several models of scan statistics have been proposed. However, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Camille Frévent , Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Sophie Dabo-Niang , Michaël Genin

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

This article addresses the problem of functional supervised classification of Cox process trajectories, whose random intensity is driven by some exogenous random covariable. The classification task is achieved through a regularized convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Quentin Paris

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Filiz Karaman , Han Lin Shang

We merge computational mechanics' definition of causal states (predictively-equivalent histories) with reproducing-kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) representation inference. The result is a widely-applicable method that infers causal structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Nicolas Brodu , James P. Crutchfield

Although ambulance call data typically come in the form of spatio-temporal point patterns, point process-based modelling approaches presented in the literature are scarce. In this paper, we study a unique set of Swedish spatio-temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-15 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

Existing spatio-temporal Hawkes process models typically rely on either parametric or semiparametric assumptions, limiting the model's ability to capture complex endogenous and exogenous event dynamics. We propose a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Wenqing Liu , Xenia Miscouridou , Déborah Sulem

Cox models with time-dependent coefficients and covariates are widely used in survival analysis. In high-dimensional settings, sparse regularization techniques are employed for variable selection, but existing methods for time-dependent Cox…

Accurate prediction of spatially dependent functional data is critical for various engineering and scientific applications. In this study, a spatial functional deep neural network model was developed with a novel non-linear modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Merve Basaran , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

There is a lack of point process models on linear networks. For an arbitrary linear network, we consider new models for a Cox process with an isotropic pair correlation function obtained in various ways by transforming an isotropic Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Jesper Møller , Jakob G. Rasmussen

This study investigates the spatial distribution of emergency alarm call events to identify spatial covariates associated with the events and discern hotspot regions for the events. The study is motivated by the problem of developing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

In spatio-temporal analysis, we often record data at specific time intervals but with varying spatial locations between these timepoints. We propose a conditional model to analyze such spatio-temporal data that accommodates the dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Subhrajyoty Roy , Soudeep Deb , Sayar Karmakar , Rishideep Roy