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Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Graph-structured data is a type of data to be obtained associated with a graph structure where vertices and edges describe some kind of data correlation. This paper proposes a regression method on graph-structured data, which is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Ayano Nakai-Kasai , Tadashi Wadayama

In distributional or average-case analysis, the goal is to design an algorithm with good-on-average performance with respect to a specific probability distribution. Distributional analysis can be useful for the study of general-purpose…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Tim Roughgarden

Over the last two decades, the science has come a long way from relying on only physical experiments and observations to experimentation using computer simulators. This chapter focusses on the modelling and analysis of data arising from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 M. Harshvardhan , Pritam Ranjan

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

The statistics of multi-field inflation are investigated using the stochastic approach. We analytically obtain the probability distribution function of fields with the scaling approximation by extending the previous work by Amendola. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Takeshi Hattori , Kazuhiro Yamamoto

Understanding multivariate dependencies in both the bulk and the tails of a distribution is an important problem for many applications, such as ensuring algorithms are robust to observations that are infrequent but have devastating effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Yuting Ng , Ali Hasan , Vahid Tarokh

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

Making good predictions of a physical system using a computer code requires the inputs to be carefully specified. Some of these inputs called control variables have to reproduce physical conditions whereas other inputs, called parameters,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-04 Guillaume Damblin , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Alberto Pasanisi , Eric Parent

Model uncertainty quantification is an essential component of effective data assimilation. Model errors associated with sub-grid scale processes are often represented through stochastic parameterizations of the unresolved process. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Sahani Pathiraja , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

In a traditional Gaussian graphical model, data homogeneity is routinely assumed with no extra variables affecting the conditional independence. In modern genomic datasets, there is an abundance of auxiliary information, which often gets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Yabo Niu , Yang Ni , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

Undirected probabilistic graphical models represent the conditional dependencies, or Markov properties, of a collection of random variables. Knowing the sparsity of such a graphical model is valuable for modeling multivariate distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Rebecca E. Morrison , Olivier Zahm

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

We develop a novel Bayesian method to select important predictors in regression models with multiple responses of diverse types. A sparse Gaussian copula regression model is used to account for the multivariate dependencies between any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Angelos Alexopoulos , Leonardo Bottolo

We propose to learn latent graphical models when data have mixed variables and missing values. This model could be used for further data analysis, including regression, classification, ranking etc. It also could be used for imputing missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Xiao Li , Jinzhu Jia , Yuan Yao

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Toshiyuki Tanaka , Takeshi Kurashima , Maya Okawa , Hiroyuki Toda