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A novel framework for the analysis of observation statistics on time discrete linear evolutions in Banach space is presented. The model differs from traditional models for stochastic processes and, in particular, clearly distinguishes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Ulrich Faigle , Gerhard Gierz

We consider an exponentially growing population of cells undergoing mutations and ask about the effect of reproductive fluctuations (genetic drift) on its long-term evolution. We combine first step analysis with the stochastic dynamics of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-14 Arman Angaji , Christoph Velling , Johannes Berg

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We analyze evolutionary dynamics in a confluent, branching cellular population, such as in a growing duct, vasculature, or in a branching microbial colony. We focus on the coarse-grained features of the evolution and build a statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Adam S. Bryant , Maxim O. Lavrentovich

The stochastic growth-fragmentation model describes the temporal evolution of a structured cell population through a discrete-time and continuous-state Markov chain. The simulations of this stochastic process and its invariant measure are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Dawei Wu , Zhennan Zhou

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye

We consider a general class of Markovian models describing the growth in a randomly fluctuating environment of a clonal biological population having several phenotypes related by stochastic switching. Phenotypes differ e.g. by the level of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 J. Unterberger

The aim of this work is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of a stochastic concatenation model presented by Sobottka and Hart (2011) which allows approximation of the first-order stochastic structure in bacterial DNA by means of a…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Andrew G. Hart , M. Sobottka

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

This thesis is aimed at studying mutations, understood as trajectories in the DNA configuration space. An evolutive model of mutations in terms of Levy flights is proposed. The parameters of the model are estimated by means of data from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-11 Dario A. Leon

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

Modelling, analysing and inferring triggering mechanisms in population reproduction is fundamental in many biological applications. It is also an active and growing research domain in mathematical biology. In this chapter, we review the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Marie Doumic , Marc Hoffmann

The basic question in perturbation analysis of Markov chains is: how do small changes in the transition kernels of Markov chains translate to chains in their stationary distributions? Many papers on the subject have shown, roughly, that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu , Aaron Smith

The study of biological cells in terms of mesoscopic, nonequilibrium, nonlinear, stochastic dynamics of open chemical systems provides a paradigm for other complex, self-organizing systems with ultra-fast stochastic fluctuations, short-time…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-11-06 Hong Qian

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

Biological living systems in general exhibit complex and diverse dynamics. The latter, in particular, is essential, since diversification increases the odds of survival of an organism while reducing the risk of extinction of the population.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-19 Sandesh Athni Hiremath

Bacteria evolve resistance to antibiotics by a multitude of mechanisms. A central, yet unsolved question is how resistance evolution affects cell growth at different drug levels. Here we develop a fitness model that predicts growth rates of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Fernanda Pinheiro , Omar Warsi , Dan I. Andersson , Michael Lässig

A stochastic model, the product of a circulant matrix and a random normal vector, is shown to produce an evolutive long memory time series with a power law spectral density. The distribution of the time series, a beta location scale family…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Robert Kimberk

We model the growth of a cell population by a piecewise deterministic Markov branching tree. Each cell splits into two offsprings at a division rate $B(x)$ that depends on its size $x$. The size of each cell grows exponentially in time, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Marie Doumic , Marc Hoffmann , Nathalie Krell , Lydia Robert

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag