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We study the bias of classical quantile regression and instrumental variable quantile regression estimators. While being asymptotically first-order unbiased, these estimators can have non-negligible second-order biases. We derive a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Grigory Franguridi , Bulat Gafarov , Kaspar Wuthrich

Machine learning algorithms have grown in sophistication over the years and are increasingly deployed for real-life applications. However, when using machine learning techniques in practical settings, particularly in high-risk applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Sukrita Singh , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Li , Agni Orfanoudaki , Michael Berger

We present a proposal to deal with the non-normality issue in the context of regression models with measurement errors when both the response and the explanatory variable are observed with error. We extend the normal model by jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 C. R. B. Cabral , N. L. de Souza , J. Leão

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jeremy Nixon , Mike Dusenberry , Ghassen Jerfel , Timothy Nguyen , Jeremiah Liu , Linchuan Zhang , Dustin Tran

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Corrected confidence intervals are developed for the mean of the second component of a bivariate normal process when the first component is being monitored sequentially. This is accomplished by constructing a first approximation to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. C. Weng , D. S. Coad

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

Nonparametric estimation using uniform-width binning is a standard approach for evaluating the calibration performance of machine learning models. However, existing theoretical analyses of the bias induced by binning are limited to binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Masahiro Fujisawa , Futoshi Futami

Aggregate outcome variables collected through surveys and administrative records are often subject to systematic measurement error. For instance, in disaster loss databases, county-level losses reported may differ from the true damages due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Saketh Vishnubhatla , Shu Wan , Andre Harrison , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

We present methods for estimating loss-based measures of the performance of a prediction model in a target population that differs from the source population in which the model was developed, in settings where outcome and covariate data are…

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Long-range ensemble forecasts are typically verified as anomalies with respect to a lead-time dependent climatological mean to remove the influence of systematic biases. However, common methods for calculating anomalies result in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-11 Christopher D. Roberts , Martin Leutbecher

One central goal of design of observational studies is to embed non-experimental data into an approximate randomized controlled trial using statistical matching. Despite empirical researchers' best intention and effort to create…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Kan Chen , Siyu Heng , Qi Long , Bo Zhang

Mediation analysis is widely used in health science research to evaluate the extent to which an intermediate variable explains an observed exposure-outcome relationship. However, the validity of analysis can be compromised when the exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Chao Cheng , Donna Spiegelman , Fan Li

Instrumental variable methods can identify causal effects even when the treatment and outcome are confounded. We study the problem of imperfect measurements of the binary instrumental variable, treatment or outcome. We first consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-06 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Omitted variable bias can affect treatment effect estimates obtained from observational data due to the lack of random assignment to treatment groups. Sensitivity analyses adjust these estimates to quantify the impact of potential omitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-10 Carrie A. Hosman , Ben B. Hansen , Paul W. Holland

In many important statistical analyses, the number of covariates $p$ often exceeds the data size $n$, a regime commonly referred to as high-dimensional. While considerable progress has been made in high-dimensional regression under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Herman Tesso , Georges Nguefack-Tsague

Measurement error is an important problem that has not been very well studied in the context of Functional Data Analysis. To the best of our knowledge, there are no existing methods that address the presence of functional measurement errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sneha Jadhav , Shuangge Ma
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