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We investigate analytical properties of free stable distributions and discover many connections with their classical counterparts. Our main result is an explicit formula for the Mellin transform, which leads to explicit series…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Takahiro Hasebe , Alexey Kuznetsov

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Baker (2008) introduced a new class of bivariate distributions based on distributions of order statistics from two independent samples of size n. Lin-Huang (2010) discovered an important property of Baker's distribution and showed that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-24 I. Bairamov , K. Bayramoglu

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

Starting from the characterization of extreme-value copulas based on max-stability, large-sample tests of extreme-value dependence for multivariate copulas are studied. The two key ingredients of the proposed tests are the empirical copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-12 Ivan Kojadinovic , Johan Segers , Jun Yan

Extreme value theory provides rigorous theory and statistical tools for extrapolation in machine learning, particularly in settings where traditional methods struggle due to data scarcity in the tails. A broad range of tasks benefit from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Anne Sabourin

We study the problem of maximizing the probability that (i) an electric component or financial institution $X$ does not default before another component or institution $Y$ and (ii) that $X$ and $Y$ default jointly within the class of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Thomas Mroz , Juan Fernández Sánchez , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

We investigate extreme value theory of a class of random sequences defined by the all-time suprema of aggregated self-similar Gaussian processes with trend. This study is motivated by its potential applications in various areas and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

This work provides a systematic study of the variational properties of decomposable functions which are compositions of an outer support function and an inner smooth mapping under certain constraint qualifications. A particular focus is put…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Wenqing Ouyang , Andre Milzarek

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Trevor Campbell , Saifuddin Syed , Chiao-Yu Yang , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

We extend the scope of the dynamical theory of extreme values to cover phenomena that do not happen instantaneously, but evolve over a finite, albeit unknown at the onset, time interval. We consider complex dynamical systems, composed of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-20 Theophile Caby , Giorgio Mantica

We examine the dependence structure of finite block-maxima of multivariate distributions. We provide a closed form expression for the copula density of the vector of the block-maxima. Further, we show how partial derivatives of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-14 Matthias Killiches , Claudia Czado

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

In this paper we discuss the representation of the joint probability density function of perfectly correlated continuous random variables, i.e., with correlation coefficients $\rho=pm1$, by Dirac's $\delta$-function. We also show how this…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-05-07 Andrés Alayón Glazunov , Jie Zhang

The aim of this paper, is to define a bivariate exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution based on Marshall-Olkin shock model. Statistical and reliability properties of this distribution are discussed. This includes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Mohamed Ibrahim , M. S. Eliwa , M. El- Morshedy

Block maxima methods constitute a fundamental part of the statistical toolbox in extreme value analysis. However, most of the corresponding theory is derived under the simplifying assumption that block maxima are independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Nan Zou , Stanislav Volgushev , Axel Bücher

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

The concept of free extreme value distributions as universal limit laws for the spectral maximum of free noncommutative real random variables was discovered by Ben Arous and Voiculescu in 2006. This paper contributes to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Yamato Kindaichi , Yuki Ueda

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev
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