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Will the United Kingdom's ageing population be fit and independent, or suffer from greater chronic ill health? Healthy life expectancy is commonly used to assess this: it is an estimate of how many years are lived in good health over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ehsan Khoman , Martin Weale

Many theories have been proposed to answer two questions on aging: "Why do we age?" and "How do we age?" Among them, evolutionary theories are proposed to interpret the evolutionary advantage of aging, and "saving resources for group…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-04 Jicun Wang-Michelitsch , Thomas Michelitsch

We propose a probabilistic mortality forecasting model that can be applied to derive forecasts for populations with regular and irregular mortality developments. Our model (1) uses rates of mortality improvement to model dynamic age…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-14 Christina Bohk , Roland Rau

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

In recent years, there are various methods of estimating Biological Age (BA) have been developed. Especially with the development of machine learning (ML), there are more and more types of BA predictions, and the accuracy has been greatly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Zhaonian Zhang , Richard Jiang , Danny Crookes , Paul Chazot

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

In this article, I present a new approach and a novel model to the study of the life cycle of wages. The key idea is that wage can be thought as remuneration paid for the competency. It is assumed with the approach that there are three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Maximov

The study considers the model of an abstract organism, called Arbitrary Oscillator (ArbO), which is capable of making decisions at each timed step. These decisions are 'critical' since, randomly, their outcome can be 'fatal' for ArbO, thus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-07 Giuseppe Alberti

How long people live depends on their health, and how it changes with age. Individual health can be tracked by the accumulation of age-related health deficits. The fraction of age-related deficits is a simple quantitative measure of human…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-23 Swadhin Taneja , Arnold B. Mitnitski , Kenneth Rockwood , Andrew D. Rutenberg

Two powerful and complementary experimental approaches are commonly used to study the cell cycle and cell biology: One class of experiments characterizes the statistics (or demographics) of an unsynchronized exponentially-growing…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Dean Huang , Teresa Lo , Houra Merrikh , Paul A. Wiggins

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Emma Pierson , Pang Wei Koh , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Daphne Koller , Jure Leskovec , Nicholas Eriksson , Percy Liang

Logarithmic aging phenomena are prevalent in various systems, including electronic materials and biological structures. This study utilizes a generalized continuous time random walk (CTRW) framework to investigate the mechanisms behind the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-24 Chunyan Li , Haiwen Liu , X. C. Xie

There has been a recent surge of interest in what causes aging. This has been matched by unprecedented research investment in the field from tech companies. But, despite considerable effort from a broad range of researchers, we do not have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-26 Thomas Fink , Yang-Hui He

We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-05 Victor E. Gluzberg , Yuri A. Katz

In many cohorts (such as the UK Biobank) on which Mendelian Randomization studies are routinely performed, data on participants' longevity is inadequate as the majority of participants are still living. To nevertheless estimate effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Zach Shahn , Rehana Rasul , C. Mary Schooling

The face is a rich source of information that can be utilized to infer a person's biological age, sex, phenotype, genetic defects, and health status. All of these factors are relevant for predicting an individual's remaining lifespan. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Amir Fekrazad

Aging, as defined in terms of the slope of the probability of death versus time (hazard curve), is a generic phenomenon observed in nearly all complex systems. Theoretical models of aging predict hazard curves that monotonically increase in…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Cagatay Eskin , Dervis C. Vural

Aging refers to the property of two-time correlation functions to decay very slowly on (at least) two time scales. This phenomenon has gained recent attention due to experimental observations of the history dependent relaxation behavior in…

Popular Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Stefan Boettcher

Using an artificial system of self-replicating strings, we show a correlation between the age of a genotype and its abundance that reflects a punctuated rather than gradual picture of evolution, as suggested long ago by Willis. In support…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 C. Adami , C. T. Brown , M. Haggerty

As the global population ages, there is increased interest in living longer and improving one's quality of life in later years. However, studying aging - the decline in body function - is expensive and time-consuming. And despite research…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-23 Sandeep Kumar , Timothy R. Peterson
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