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Turbulent relative dispersion is studied theoretically with a focus on the evolution of probability distribution of the relative separation of two passive particles. A finite separation speed and a finite correlation of relative velocity,…
We develop a new approach to solving classification problems, which is bases on the theory of coherent measures of risk and risk sharing ideas. The proposed approach aims at designing a risk-averse classifier. The new approach allows for…
Shortfall systemic (multivariate) risk measures $\rho$ defined through an $N$-dimensional multivariate utility function $U$ and random allocations can be represented as classical (one dimensional) shortfall risk measures associated to an…
Regression evaluation has been performed for decades. Some metrics have been identified to be robust against shifting and scaling of the data but considering the different distributions of data is much more difficult to address (imbalance…
In this paper we study optimal stopping problems with respect to distorted expectations of the form \begin{eqnarray*} \mathcal{E}(X)=\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x\,dG(F_X(x)), \end{eqnarray*} where $F_X$ is the distribution function of $X$ and…
In this paper, we provide extended convolution bounds for the Fr\'{e}chet problem and discuss related implications in quantitative risk management. First, we establish a new form of inequality for the Range-Value-at-Risk (RVaR). Based on…
We show that the derivative of the (measure) transfer operator with respect to the parameter of the map is a divergence. Then, for physical measures of discrete-time hyperbolic chaotic systems, we derive an equivariant divergence formula…
We propose a new class of measures for shaping time-dependent trajectories in dynamic optimization (DO). The proposed measures are analogous to risk measures used in stochastic optimization (SO) and are inspired by a recently-proposed…
We propose a generalization of the classical notion of the $V@R_{\lambda}$ that takes into account not only the probability of the losses, but the balance between such probability and the amount of the loss. This is obtained by defining a…
We prove some invariance principles for processes which generalize FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution. The limiting processes are extensions of the fractional L\'evy…
We study a class of dynamically consistent risk measures that robustify a time-homogeneous Markovian reference model by allowing for distributional uncertainty in its transition laws. We start from one-step convex risk evaluations in which…
For the one dimensional Burgers equation with a random and periodic forcing, it is well-known that there exists a family of invariant measures, each corresponding to a different average velocity. In this paper, we consider the coupled…
Diffusive representations of fractional derivatives have proven to be useful tools in the construction of fast and memory efficient numerical methods for solving fractional differential equations. A common challenge in many of the known…
We introduce a novel data-driven method to mitigate the risk of cascading failures in delayed discrete-time Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. Our approach involves formulating a distributionally robust finite-horizon optimal control…
Distributional shift is one of the major obstacles when transferring machine learning prediction systems from the lab to the real world. To tackle this problem, we assume that variation across training domains is representative of the…
We study the optimal stopping problem for dynamic risk measures represented by Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) with jumps and its relation with reflected BSDEs (RBSDEs). We first provide general existence, uniqueness and…
We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…
Invariant measures encode the long-time behaviour of a dynamical system. In this work, we propose an optimization-based method to discover invariant measures directly from data gathered from a system. Our method does not require an explicit…
A framework for risk-averse optimization problems is introduced that is resilient to ambiguities in the true form of the underlying probability distribution. The focus is on problems with partial differential equations (PDEs) as…
This paper is concerned with the uniqueness issue of open-loop equilibrium investment strategies of dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problems with random coefficients. A unified method is developed to treat both the problems with…