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This article extends the multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT) to discrete settings, focusing on the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as a foundational tool. The purpose of the study is to enhance the understanding of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions arise as the limit distributions of exceedances over multivariate thresholds of random vectors in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution. These distributions can be parametrized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

When assessing the impact of extreme events, it is often not just a single component, but the combined behaviour of several components which is important. Statistical modelling using multivariate generalized Pareto (GP) distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-07 Anna Kiriliouk , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Philippe Naveau , Johan Segers

The classical approach to analyzing extreme value data is the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). When the GPD is used to explain a target variable with the large dimension of covariates, the shape and scale function of covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Takuma Yoshida

In most risk assessment studies, it is important to accurately capture the entire distribution of the multivariate random vector of interest from low to high values. For example, in climate sciences, low precipitation events may lead to…

Modelling excesses over a high threshold using the Pareto or generalized Pareto distribution (PD/GPD) is the most popular approach in extreme value statistics. This method typically requires high thresholds in order for the (G)PD to fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Jan Beirlant , Elisabeth Joossens , Johan Segers

A multivariate distribution function F is in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution if and only if this is true for the copula corresponding to F and its univariate margins. Aulbach et al. (2012a) have shown that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Stefan Aulbach , Michael Falk

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this work we present for the first time an application of the Pareto approach to the modelling of the excesses of galaxy clusters over high-mass thresholds. The distribution of those excesses can be described by the generalized Pareto…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Jean-Claude Waizmann , Stefano Ettori , Lauro Moscardini

In this paper, we provide finite sample results to assess the consistency of Generalized Pareto regression trees, as tools to perform extreme value regression. The results that we provide are obtained from concentration inequalities, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sébastien Farkas , Antoine Heranval , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

This paper deals with optimally-robust parameter estimation in generalized Pareto distributions (GPDs). These arise naturally in many situations where one is interested in the behavior of extreme events as motivated by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Peter Ruckdeschel , Nataliya Horbenko

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a fundamental model for analyzing the tail behavior of a distribution. In particular, the shape parameter of the GPD characterizes the extremal properties of the distribution. As described in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Takuma Yoshida , Koki Momoki , Shuichi Kawano

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

The statistical modeling of discrete extremes has received less attention than their continuous counterparts in the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) literature. One approach to the transition from continuous to discrete extremes is the modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Touqeer Ahmad , Carlo Gaetan , Philippe Naveau

A widely used tool in the study of risk, insurance and extreme values is the mean excess plot. One use is for validating a generalized Pareto model for the excess distribution. This paper investigates some theoretical and practical aspects…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-03 Souvik Ghosh , Sidney I Resnick
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