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Online social media are key platforms for the public to discuss political issues. As a result, researchers have used data from these platforms to analyze public opinions and forecast election results. Recent studies reveal the existence of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Kai-Cheng Yang , Pik-Mai Hui , Filippo Menczer

In social, economic and cultural situations in which the decisions of individuals are influenced directly by the decisions of others, there appears to be an inherently high level of ex ante unpredictability. In cultural markets such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Paul Ormerod , Kristin Glass

We investigate the potential of deliberation to create consensus among fully-informed citizens. Our approach relies on two cognitive assumptions: i. citizens need a thinking frame (or perspective) to consider an issue; and ii. citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-11 Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky , Irénée Frérot

The global dynamics of event cascades are often governed by the local dynamics of peer influence. However, detecting social influence from observational data is challenging due to confounds like homophily and practical issues like missing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Sandeep Soni , Shawn Ling Ramirez , Jacob Eisenstein

An individual's opinions about media bias derive from their own independent assessment of media outputs combined with peer pressure from networked political allies and opponents. Here we generalize previous idealized, probabilistic models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 Yutong Bu , Andrew Melatos

We present a study on predicting the factuality of reporting and bias of news media. While previous work has focused on studying the veracity of claims or documents, here we are interested in characterizing entire news media. These are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-04 Ramy Baly , Georgi Karadzhov , Dimitar Alexandrov , James Glass , Preslav Nakov

Information extracted from social media streams has been leveraged to forecast the outcome of a large number of real-world events, from political elections to stock market fluctuations. An increasing amount of studies demonstrates how the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Lei Le , Emilio Ferrara , Alessandro Flammini

Metric distortion in social choice is a framework for evaluating how well voting rules minimize social cost when both voters and candidates exist in a shared metric space, with a voter's cost defined by their distance to a candidate. Voters…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Mohak Goyal , Sahasrajit Sarmasarkar

In this paper, we will review some of the issues that have been raised by opinion dynamics theory to date. In particular, we conducted a hypothesis-based simulation using a socio-physical approach regarding the filter bubble phenomenon that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-23 Yasuko Kawahata

Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-12 Junpei Komiyama , Takanori Maehara

News entities must select and filter the coverage they broadcast through their respective channels since the set of world events is too large to be treated exhaustively. The subjective nature of this filtering induces biases due to, among…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Dylan Bourgeois , Jeremie Rappaz , Karl Aberer

Accounting for undecided and uncertain voters is a challenging issue for predicting election results from public opinion polls. Undecided voters typify the uncertainty of swing voters in polls but are often ignored or allocated to each…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Joshua J Bon , Timothy Ballard , Bernard Baffour

Complex dynamical systems driven by the unravelling of information can be modelled effectively by treating the underlying flow of information as the model input. Complicated dynamical behaviour of the system is then derived as an output.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-05 Dorje C Brody

Recommender systems can be found everywhere today, shaping our everyday experience whenever we're consuming content, ordering food, buying groceries online, or even just reading the news. Let's imagine we're in the process of building a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Cécile Logé

Major search engines deploy personalized Web results to enhance users' experience, by showing them data supposed to be relevant to their interests. Even if this process may bring benefits to users while browsing, it also raises concerns on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-08-18 Van Tien Hoang , Angelo Spognardi , Francesco Tiezzi , Marinella Petrocchi , Rocco De Nicola

Citizen-focused democratic processes where participants deliberate on alternatives and then vote to make the final decision are increasingly popular today. While the computational social choice literature has extensively investigated voting…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Kanav Mehra , Nanda Kishore Sreenivas , Kate Larson

Two of the main factors shaping an individual's opinion are social coordination and personal preferences, or personal biases. To understand the role of those and that of the topology of the network of interactions, we study an extension of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Filippo Zimmaro , Pierluigi Contucci , János Kertész

This paper presents a user modeling pipeline to analyze discussions and opinions shared on social media regarding polarized political events (e.g., public polls). The pipeline follows a four-step methodology. First, social media posts and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Roberto Napoli , Ali Mert Ertugrul , Alessandro Bozzon , Marco Brambilla

Online social networks provide users with unprecedented opportunities to engage with diverse opinions. At the same time, they enable confirmation bias on large scales by empowering individuals to self-select narratives they want to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-22 Orowa Sikder , Robert E. Smith , Pierpaolo Vivo , Giacomo Livan

It is believed that interventions that change the media's costs of misreporting can increase the information provided by media outlets. This paper analyzes the validity of this claim and the welfare implications of those types of…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-26 Federico Vaccari