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Current methods for pattern analysis in time series mainly rely on statistical features or probabilistic learning and inference methods to identify patterns and trends in the data. Such methods do not generalize well when applied to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Yushan Huang , Yuchen Zhao , Alexander Capstick , Francesca Palermo , Hamed Haddadi , Payam Barnaghi

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used for temporal prediction, but their reliance on pretraining data raises contamination concerns, as accurate predictions on pre-cutoff test data may reflect memorization rather than reasoning,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Xin Gao , Ruiyi Zhang , Daniel Du , Saurabh Mahindre , Sai Ashish Somayajula , Pengtao Xie

Conventional embedding-based models approach event time prediction in temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) as a ranking problem. However, they often fall short in capturing essential temporal relationships such as order and distance. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Siheng Xiong , Yuan Yang , Ali Payani , James C Kerce , Faramarz Fekri

Pre-trained language models (LMs) are used for knowledge intensive tasks like question answering, but their knowledge gets continuously outdated as the world changes. Prior work has studied targeted updates to LMs, injecting individual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Yasumasa Onoe , Michael J. Q. Zhang , Shankar Padmanabhan , Greg Durrett , Eunsol Choi

Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting (TKGF) aims to predict future events based on the observed events in history. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have exhibited remarkable capabilities, generating significant research interest in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-01-22 He Chang , Jie Wu , Zhulin Tao , Yunshan Ma , Xianglin Huang , Tat-Seng Chua

This paper introduces an algorithm for discovering implicit and delayed causal relations between events observed by a robot at arbitrary times, with the objective of improving data-efficiency and interpretability of model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Junchi Liang , Abdeslam Boularias

Humans continuously make new discoveries, and understanding temporal sequence of events leading to these breakthroughs is essential for advancing science and society. This ability to reason over time allows us to identify future steps and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Abhilash Shankarampeta , Harsh Mahajan , Tushar Kataria , Dan Roth , Vivek Gupta

As systems are getting more autonomous with the development of artificial intelligence, it is important to discover the causal knowledge from observational sensory inputs. By encoding a series of cause-effect relations between events,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Yuhao Wang , Vlado Menkovski , Hao Wang , Xin Du , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Sequential recommender systems have achieved significant success in modeling temporal user behavior but remain limited in capturing rich user semantics beyond interaction patterns. Large Language Models (LLMs) present opportunities to…

Given time series data, how can we answer questions like "what will happen in the future?" and "how did we get here?" These sorts of probabilistic inference questions are challenging when observations are high-dimensional. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Benjamin Eysenbach , Vivek Myers , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Sergey Levine

In this work we examine the problem of data-driven prediction. That is, given a LTI system with unknown dynamics, we wish to use data collected from the system to predict the system's output response to a given sequence of known inputs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Joel Stevens , Jeremy Coulson

Imitation learning methods have demonstrated considerable success in teaching autonomous systems complex tasks through expert demonstrations. However, a limitation of these methods is their lack of interpretability, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Wenliang Liu , Danyang Li , Erfan Aasi , Daniela Rus , Roberto Tron , Calin Belta

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

Inductive Logic Programming (ILP) is a principled approach for generalizing regularities from data and constructing hypotheses as interpretable logic programs. However, a key limitation is its reliance on expert-crafted language bias - the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yang Yang , Jiemin Wu , Yutao Yue

Tool use, such as web search, has become a standard capability even in freely available large language models (LLMs). However, existing benchmarks evaluate temporal reasoning mainly in static, non-tool-using settings, which poorly reflect…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Zhengxiang Wang , Zeyu Dong

One of the goals of probabilistic inference is to decide whether an empirically observed distribution is compatible with a candidate Bayesian network. However, Bayesian networks with hidden variables give rise to highly non-trivial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 R. Chaves , L. Luft , T. O. Maciel , D. Gross , D. Janzing , B. Schölkopf

Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs) are trained on vast unlabeled data, rich in world knowledge. This fact has sparked the interest of the community in quantifying the amount of factual knowledge present in PLMs, as this explains their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Paul Youssef , Osman Alperen Koraş , Meijie Li , Jörg Schlötterer , Christin Seifert

Scientific discovery catalyzes human intellectual advances, driven by the cycle of hypothesis generation, experimental design, evaluation, and assumption refinement. Central to this process is causal inference, uncovering the mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Ivaxi Sheth , Sahar Abdelnabi , Mario Fritz

This paper considers the challenges Large Language Models (LLMs) face when reasoning over text that includes information involving uncertainty explicitly quantified via probability values. This type of reasoning is relevant to a variety of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Aliakbar Nafar , Kristen Brent Venable , Parisa Kordjamshidi

Knowledge infusion is a promising method for enhancing Large Language Models for domain-specific NLP tasks rather than pre-training models over large data from scratch. These augmented LLMs typically depend on additional pre-training or…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Kinshuk Vasisht , Balaji Ganesan , Vikas Kumar , Vasudha Bhatnagar
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