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Being archetypal complex systems, financial markets exhibit rich set of dynamics in their interactions. In this paper, we focus on the recently evolved cryptocurrency market as an example of a complex system and analyse the evolution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vishwas Kukreti

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

In relation to the traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market is a recent invention and the trading dynamics of all its components are readily recorded and stored. This fact opens up a unique opportunity to follow the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

Cryptocurrencies as a new way of transferring assets and securing financial transactions have gained popularity in recent years. Transactions in cryptocurrencies are publicly available, hence, statistical studies on different aspects of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Amir Pasha Motamed , Behnam Bahrak

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-06 Ruixue Jing , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

This paper aims to investigate the role of gold as a hedge and/or safe haven against oil price and currency market movements for medium (calm period) and large (extreme movement) fluctuations. In revisiting the role of gold, our study…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-01 Mohamed Arbi Madani , Zied Ftiti

We determine the number of statistically significant factors in a forecast model using a random matrices test. The applied forecast model is of the type of Reduced Rank Regression (RRR), in particular, we chose a flavor which can be seen as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García Medina , Graciela González-Farías

The correlation coefficient between stocks depends on price history and includes information on hierarchical structure in financial markets. It is useful for portfolio selection and estimation of risk. I introduce the Life Time of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-01 Andrzej Buda

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

Cryptocurrencies (CCs) become more interesting for institutional investors' strategic asset allocation and will be a fixed component of professional portfolios in future. This asset class differs from established assets especially in terms…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-25 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Jonas Krettek , Lars M. Kürzinger , Tim Schmitz

Using one of the key property of copulas that they remain invariant under an arbitrary monotonous change of variable, we investigate the null hypothesis that the dependence between financial assets can be modeled by the Gaussian copula. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We analyze correlations among stock returns via a series of widely adopted parameters which we refer to as explanatory variables. We subsequently exploit the results to propose a long only quantitative adaptive technique to construct a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Ludovico Latmiral

Cryptocurrencies have evolved into an important asset class, providing a variety of benefits. However, they also present significant risks, such as market volatility and the potential for misuse in illegal activities. These risks underline…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xihan Xiong , Junliang Luo

In order to emphasize cross-correlations for fluctuations in major market places, series of up and down spins are built from financial data. Patterns frequencies are measured, and statistical tests performed. Strong cross-correlations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 N. Vandewalle , Ph. Boveroux , F. Brisbois

We model the dynamics of the cryptocurrency (CC) asset class via a stochastic volatility with correlated jumps (SVCJ) model with rolling-window parameter estimates. By analyzing the time-series of parameters, stylized patterns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Konstantin Häusler , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

In the wake of financial crises, stablecoins are gaining adoption among digital currencies. We discuss how stablecoins help reduce the volatility of cryptocurrencies by surveying different types of stablecoins and their stability…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-03 Ayten Kahya , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Seokgu Yun

Since its conception, the cryptocurrency market has been frequently described as an immature market, characterized by significant swings in volatility and occasionally described as lacking rhyme or reason. There has been great speculation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Nick James , Max Menzies

This paper studies the forecasting ability of cryptocurrency time series. This study is about the four most capitalized cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple. Different Bayesian models are compared, including models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-17 Rick Bohte , Luca Rossini