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Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

Most inverse problems from physical sciences are formulated as PDE-constrained optimization problems. This involves identifying unknown parameters in equations by optimizing the model to generate PDE solutions that closely match measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Qin Li , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are ubiquitous in engineering and computational sciences. The stochasticity arises as a consequence of uncertainty in input parameters, constitutive relations, initial/boundary conditions,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-29 Sharmila Karumuri , Rohit Tripathy , Ilias Bilionis , Jitesh Panchal

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

Mechanistic knowledge about the physical world is virtually always expressed via partial differential equations (PDEs). Recently, there has been a surge of interest in probabilistic PDE solvers -- Bayesian statistical models mostly based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Tim Weiland , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of numerical simulators aims at studying the global impact of the input uncertainties on the output. To perform the GSA, statistical tools based on inputs/output dependence measures are commonly used. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Anouar Meynaoui , Amandine Marrel , Béatrice Laurent

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Linear partial differential equations (PDEs) are an important, widely applied class of mechanistic models, describing physical processes such as heat transfer, electromagnetism, and wave propagation. In practice, specialized numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Marvin Pförtner , Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Hennig , Jonathan Wenger

The reduced basis method is a powerful model reduction technique designed to speed up the computation of multiple numerical solutions of parametrized partial differential equations. We consider a quantity of interest, which is a linear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-07-11 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantify the relative influence of any specific group of input variables on the output of a computer code. One crucial question is then to decide whether a given set of variables has a significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Thierry Klein , Nicolas Peteilh , Paul Rochet

When individuals participating in a randomized trial differ with respect to the distribution of effect modifiers compared compared with the target population where the trial results will be used, treatment effect estimates from the trial…

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims to detect influential input factors that lead a model to arrive at a certain decision and is a significant approach for mitigating the computational burden of processing high dimensional data. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Zahra Sadeghi , Stan Matwin

We consider singular quasilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) studied in \cite{FHSX}, which are defined in paracontrolled sense. The main aim of the present article is to establish the global-in-time solvability for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Tadahisa Funaki , Bin Xie

In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-30 Chun Pong Lau

We use the ideas of goal-oriented error estimation and adaptivity to design and implement an efficient adaptive algorithm for approximating linear quantities of interest derived from solutions to elliptic partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Alex Bespalov , Dirk Praetorius , Leonardo Rocchi , Michele Ruggeri

The ability to interpret machine learning models has become increasingly important as their usage in data science continues to rise. Most current interpretability methods are optimized to work on either (\textit{i}) a global scale, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Emily T. Winn-Nuñez , Maryclare Griffin , Lorin Crawford

We define and study a generalization of Sobol sensitivity indices for the case of a vector output.

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-18 Fabrice Gamboa , Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in dynamic systems described by ordinary differential equations. A review of the existing literature emphasizes the need for deterministic global optimization methods due to the nonconvex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 M. Fernández de Dios , Ángel M. González-Rueda , Julio R. Banga , Julio González-Díaz , David R. Penas

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Thomas Ryder , Andrew Golightly , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle