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We consider finite horizon reach-avoid problems for discrete time stochastic systems. Our goal is to construct upper bound functions for the reach-avoid probability by means of tractable convex optimization problems. We achieve this by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Nikolaos Kariotoglou , Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler H. Summers , John Lygeros

Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach is frequently used within Bayesian framework to sample the target posterior distribution. Its efficiency strongly depends on the proposal used to build the chain. The best jump proposal is the one that…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Mikel Falxa , Stanislav Babak , Maude Le Jeune

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

The paper deals with strong global approximation of SDEs driven by two independent processes: a nonhomogeneous Poisson process and a Wiener process. We assume that the jump and diffusion coefficients of the underlying SDE satisfy jump…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Paweł Przybyłowicz

This paper presents a novel operator-theoretic approach for optimal control of nonlinear stochastic systems within reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Our learning framework leverages data samples of system dynamics and stage cost functions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Petar Bevanda , Nicolas Hoischen , Tobias Wittmann , Jan Brüdigam , Sandra Hirche , Boris Houska

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Diffusion-based classifiers such as those relying on the Personalized PageRank and the Heat kernel, enjoy remarkable classification accuracy at modest computational requirements. Their performance however is affected by the extent to which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Dimitris Berberidis , Athanasios N. Nikolakopoulos , Georgios B. Giannakis

In this paper we prove a necessary condition of the optimal control problem for a class of general mean-field forward-backward stochastic systems with jumps in the case where the diffusion coefficients depend on control, the control set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Tao Hao , Qingxin Meng

Kernel quadrature is widely used to approximate integrals of smooth functions, with worst-case error typically decaying at the minimax rate $n^{-\alpha/d}$ for smoothness $\alpha$ in dimension $d$. Existing rate-optimal methods often depend…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Edoardo Bandoni , Christian Robert , Julien Stoehr

In computational system biology, the mesoscopic model of reaction-diffusion kinetics is described by a continuous time, discrete space Markov process. To simulate diffusion stochastically, the jump coefficients are obtained by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Lina Meinecke , Stefan Engblom , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

An individualized decision rule (IDR) is a decision function that assigns each individual a given treatment based on his/her observed characteristics. Most of the existing works in the literature consider settings with binary or finitely…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Hengrui Cai , Chengchun Shi , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu

Various bias-correction methods such as EXTRA, gradient tracking methods, and exact diffusion have been proposed recently to solve distributed {\em deterministic} optimization problems. These methods employ constant step-sizes and converge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Kun Yuan , Sulaiman A. Alghunaim , Bicheng Ying , Ali H. Sayed

We develop a recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to both conditional and unconditional moments of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities. Using these moment solutions, we construct closed-form…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Yan-Feng Wu , Jian-Qiang Hu

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

This paper discusses the local linear smoothing to estimate the unknown first and second infinitesimal moments in second-order jump-diffusion model based on Gamma asymmetric kernels. Under the mild conditions, we obtain the weak consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

In this paper, we investigate the supremum-norm generalization error and the uniform inference for a specific class of kernel regression methods, namely the kernel gradient flows. Under the widely adopted capacity-source condition framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yuqian Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Qian Lin

Selecting an appropriate kernel is a central challenge in kernel-based spectral methods. In \emph{Kernelized Diffusion Maps} (KDM), the kernel determines the accuracy of the RKHS estimator of a diffusion-type operator and hence the quality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Othmane Aboussaad , Adam Miraoui , Boumediene Hamzi , Houman Owhadi

We present a multilevel stochastic gradient descent method for the optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations under uncertain input data. The gradient descent method used to find the optimal control leverages a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Niklas Baumgarten , David Schneiderhan

Discontinuity in density functions is of economic importance and interest. For instance, in studies on regression discontinuity designs, discontinuity in the density of a running variable suggests violation of the no-manipulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Benedikt Funke , Masayuki Hirukawa

We consider the problem of sequential (online) estimation of a single change point in a piecewise linear regression model under a Gaussian setup. We demonstrate that certain CUSUM-type statistics attain the minimax optimal rates for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Annika Hüselitz , Housen Li , Axel Munk
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