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We introduce the Graph Mixture Density Networks, a new family of machine learning models that can fit multimodal output distributions conditioned on graphs of arbitrary topology. By combining ideas from mixture models and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Federico Errica , Davide Bacciu , Alessio Micheli

Deep neural networks have revolutionized many machine learning tasks in power systems, ranging from pattern recognition to signal processing. The data in these tasks is typically represented in Euclidean domains. Nevertheless, there is an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Yuelong Wang , Yusen Wang

While trade-offs between modeling effort and model accuracy remain a major concern with system identification, resorting to data-driven methods often leads to a complete disregard for physical plausibility. To address this issue, we propose…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-23 Oliver Schön , Ricarda-Samantha Götte , Julia Timmermann

A significant amount of converter-based generation is being integrated into the bulk electric power grid to fulfill the future electric demand through renewable energy sources, such as wind and photovoltaic. The dynamics of converter…

The increasing complexity of energy systems due to sector coupling and decarbonization calls for unified modeling frameworks that capture the physical and structural interactions between electricity, gas, and heat networks. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-08 Marwan Mostafa , Daniel Wenser , Payam Teimourzadeh Baboli , Christian Becker

Energy and pollution are urging problems of the 21th century. By gradually changing the actual power grid system, smart grid may evolve into different systems by means of size, elements and strategies, but its fundamental requirements and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Soufian Ben Amor , Alain Bui , Guillaume Guerard

Connectivity estimation is challenging in the context of high-dimensional data. A useful preprocessing step is to group variables into clusters, however, it is not always clear how to do so from the perspective of connectivity estimation.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-25 Ricardo Pio Monti , Aapo Hyvärinen

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

The behaviour of many real-world phenomena can be modelled by nonlinear dynamical systems whereby a latent system state is observed through a filter. We are interested in interacting subsystems of this form, which we model by a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-20 Oliver M. Cliff , Mikhail Prokopenko , Robert Fitch

Random graph models are frequently used as a controllable and versatile data source for experimental campaigns in various research fields. Generating such data-sets at scale is a non-trivial task as it requires design decisions typically…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Manuel Penschuck , Ulrik Brandes , Michael Hamann , Sebastian Lamm , Ulrich Meyer , Ilya Safro , Peter Sanders , Christian Schulz

Complex networks lend themselves to the modeling of multidimensional data, such as relational and/or temporal data. In particular, when such complex data and their inherent relationships need to be formalized, complex network modeling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Stefan Bloemheuvel , Jurgen van den Hoogen , Martin Atzmueller

Graphical causal models are an important tool for knowledge discovery because they can represent both the causal relations between variables and the multivariate probability distributions over the data. Once learned, causal graphs can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Andrew J Sedgewick , Joseph D. Ramsey , Peter Spirtes , Clark Glymour , Panayiotis V. Benos

Smart grid technological advances present a recent class of complex interdisciplinary modeling and increasingly difficult simulation problems to solve using traditional computational methods. To simulate a smart grid requires a systemic…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sofiane Ben Amor , Guillaume Guerard , Loup-Noé Levy

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

The prediction of dynamical stability of power grids becomes more important and challenging with increasing shares of renewable energy sources due to their decentralized structure, reduced inertia and volatility. We investigate the…

Deep generative models for graphs have exhibited promising performance in ever-increasing domains such as design of molecules (i.e, graph of atoms) and structure prediction of proteins (i.e., graph of amino acids). Existing work typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Wenbin Zhang , Liming Zhang , Dieter Pfoser , Liang Zhao

We describe a graphical model for probabilistic relationships---an alternative to the Bayesian network---called a dependency network. The graph of a dependency network, unlike a Bayesian network, is potentially cyclic. The probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David Heckerman , David Maxwell Chickering , Christopher Meek , Robert Rounthwaite , Carl Kadie

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

The application of graph neural networks (GNNs) to the domain of electrical power grids has high potential impact on smart grid monitoring. Even though there is a natural correspondence of power flow to message-passing in GNNs, their…

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