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Model selection in the presence of intractable likelihoods remains a central challenge in Bayesian inference. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) provides a flexible likelihood-free framework, but its use for model choice is known to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Clara Grazian

Stochastic processes that involve the creation of objects and relations over time are widespread, but relatively poorly studied. For example, accurate fault diagnosis in factory assembly processes requires inferring the probabilities of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-13 P. Domingos , S. Sanghai , D. Weld

We study probabilistic safety for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) under adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points, $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$, we study the probability w.r.t. the BNN posterior that all the points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Marta Kwiatkowska

This paper proves that robustness implies generalization via data-dependent generalization bounds. As a result, robustness and generalization are shown to be connected closely in a data-dependent manner. Our bounds improve previous bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Kenji Kawaguchi , Zhun Deng , Kyle Luh , Jiaoyang Huang

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models often used in big data analytics. The problem of exact structure learning is to find a network structure that is optimal under certain scoring criteria. The problem is known to be NP-hard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Subhadeep Karan , Jaroslaw Zola

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-11 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

One of the most challenging tasks when adopting Bayesian Networks (BNs) is the one of learning their structure from data. This task is complicated by the huge search space of possible solutions, and by the fact that the problem is NP-hard.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Stefano Beretta , Mauro Castelli , Ivo Goncalves , Roberto Henriques , Daniele Ramazzotti

We investigate the topics of sensitivity and robustness in feedforward and convolutional neural networks. Combining energy landscape techniques developed in computational chemistry with tools drawn from formal methods, we produce empirical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-06 Timothy E. Wang , Yiming Gu , Dhagash Mehta , Xiaojun Zhao , Edgar A. Bernal

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

Emergence of robustness in biological networks is a paramount feature of evolving organisms, but a study of this property in vivo, for any level of representation such as Genetic, Metabolic, or Neuronal Networks, is a very hard challenge.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-18 Vitor H. P. Louzada , Fabrício M. Lopes , Ronaldo F. Hashimoto

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Network data are increasingly collected along with other variables of interest. Our motivation is drawn from neurophysiology studies measuring brain connectivity networks for a sample of individuals along with their membership to a low or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , David B. Dunson

We present a new approach for learning the structure of a treewidth-bounded Bayesian Network (BN). The key to our approach is applying an exact method (based on MaxSAT) locally, to improve the score of a heuristically computed BN. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Vaidyanathan P. R. , Stefan Szeider

Deep neural networks have shown remarkable performance across a wide range of vision-based tasks, particularly due to the availability of large-scale datasets for training and better architectures. However, data seen in the real world are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Muhammad Usama , Dong Eui Chang

Bayesian variable selection often assumes normality, but the effects of model misspecification are not sufficiently understood. There are sound reasons behind this assumption, particularly for large $p$: ease of interpretation, analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-07 David Rossell , Francisco J. Rubio

We adopt the statistical framework on robustness proposed by Watson and Holmes in 2016 and then tackle the practical challenges that hinder its applicability to network models. The goal is to evaluate how the quality of an inference for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Marios Papamichalis , Simon Lunagomez , Patrick J. Wolfe

The application of Bayesian networks (BNs) to cognitive assessment and intelligent tutoring systems poses new challenges for model construction. When cognitive task analyses suggest constructing a BN with several latent variables, empirical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David M. Williamson , Russell Almond , Robert Mislevy

We derive, in the classical framework of Bayesian sensitivity analysis, optimal lower and upper bounds on posterior values obtained from Bayesian models that exactly capture an arbitrarily large number of finite-dimensional marginals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan