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We combine Bayesian networks (BNs) and structural reliability methods (SRMs) to create a new computational framework, termed enhanced Bayesian network (eBN), for reliability and risk analysis of engineering structures and infrastructure.…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

Regression neural networks (NNs) are most commonly trained by minimizing the mean squared prediction error, which is highly sensitive to outliers and data contamination. Existing robust training methods for regression NNs are often limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Abhik Ghosh , Suryasis Jana

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are increasingly used in real-world applications (e.g. facial recognition). This has resulted in concerns about the fairness of decisions made by these models. Various notions and measures of fairness have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Vedant Nanda , Samuel Dooley , Sahil Singla , Soheil Feizi , John P. Dickerson

This work develops rigorous theoretical basis for the fact that deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) is an effective tool for high-dimensional variable selection with rigorous uncertainty quantification. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Bayesian learning has been recently considered as an effective means of accounting for uncertainty in trained deep network parameters. This is of crucial importance when dealing with small or sparse training datasets. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Harris Partaourides , Sotirios Chatzis

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become increasingly popular over the last few decades as a tool for reasoning under uncertainty in fields as diverse as medicine, biology, epidemiology, economics and the social sciences. This is especially true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou , Zhigao Guo , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham

Decisions based partly or solely on predictions from probabilistic models may be sensitive to model misspecification. Statisticians are taught from an early stage that "all models are wrong", but little formal guidance exists on how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-09 James Watson , Chris Holmes

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Neural networks have achieved remarkable performance across various problem domains, but their widespread applicability is hindered by inherent limitations such as overconfidence in predictions, lack of interpretability, and vulnerability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Julyan Arbel , Konstantinos Pitas , Mariia Vladimirova , Vincent Fortuin

Complex networks can model the structure and dynamics of different types of systems. It has been shown that they are characterized by a set of measures. In this work, we evaluate the variability of complex networks measures face to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Raquel Cabral , Alejandro Frery , Jaime Ramírez

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) constitute a general and powerful framework for modeling continuous-time stochastic processes on networks. This makes them particularly attractive for learning the directed structures among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are powerful tools for various computer vision tasks, yet they often struggle with reliable uncertainty quantification - a critical requirement for real-world applications. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Gianni Franchi , Olivier Laurent , Maxence Leguéry , Andrei Bursuc , Andrea Pilzer , Angela Yao

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Bayesian networks are a versatile and powerful tool to model complex phenomena and the interplay of their components in a probabilistically principled way. Moving beyond the comparatively simple case of completely observed, static data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Marco Scutari

Most of the regularization methods such as the LASSO have one (or more) regularization parameter(s), and to select the value of the regularization parameter is essentially equal to select a model. Thus, to obtain a model suitable for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Sumito Kurata , Kei Hirose

We study the problem of learning a Bayesian network (BN) of a set of variables when structural side information about the system is available. It is well known that learning the structure of a general BN is both computationally and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Ehsan Mokhtarian , Sina Akbari , Fateme Jamshidi , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

In Bayesian analysis, the posterior follows from the data and a choice of a prior and a likelihood. One hopes that the posterior is robust to reasonable variation in the choice of prior, since this choice is made by the modeler and is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-07 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Michael Jordan

Bayesian network models (Erdos Renyi, stochastic block models, random dot product graphs, graphons) are widely used in neuroscience, epidemiology, and the social sciences, yet real networks are sparse, heterogeneous, and exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Simon Lunagomez , Swati Chandna