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The gambler's ruin problem for correlated random walks (CRW), both with and without delays, is addressed using the Optional Stopping Theorem for martingales. We derive closed-form expressions for the ruin probabilities and the expected game…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Vladimir Pozdnyakov

This paper considers a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem and proposes to solve it in an iterative manner. Each iteration of the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting point to the target equilibrium state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

We tackle some fundamental problems in probability theory on corrupted random processes on the integer line. We analyze when a biased random walk is expected to reach its bottommost point and when intervals of integer points can be detected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Daniel Berend , Aryeh Kontorovich , Lev Reyzin , Thomas Robinson

We outline basic properties of a symmetric random walk in one dimension, in which the length of the nth step equals lambda^n, with lambda<1. As the number of steps N-->oo, the probability that the endpoint is at x, P_{lambda}(x;N),…

Physics Education · Physics 2009-11-10 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Search patterns of randomly oriented steps of different lengths have been observed on all scales of the biological world, ranging from the microscopic to the ecological, including in protein motors, bacteria, T-cells, honeybees, marine…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-14 Brieuc Guinard , Amos Korman

Chance constrained program is computationally intractable due to the existence of chance constraints, which are randomly disturbed and should be satisfied with a probability. This paper proposes a two-layer randomized algorithm to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang

It is known that simulation of the mean position of a Reflected Random Walk (RRW) $\{W_n\}$ exhibits non-standard behavior, even for light-tailed increment distributions with negative drift. The Large Deviation Principle (LDP) holds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-01 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

We consider the maximal reach-avoid probability to a target in finite horizon for semi-Markov decision processes with time-varying obstacles. Since the variance of the obstacle set, the model \eqref{Model} is non-homogeneous. To overcome…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Yanyun Li , Xianping Guo

This paper gives conditions for the rightmost particle in the $n$th generation of a multitype branching random walk to have a speed, in the sense that its location divided by n converges to a constant as n goes to infinity. Furthermore, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-17 J. D. Biggins

We consider a random walk on $\Z$ that branches at the origin only. In the supercritical regime we establish a law of large number for the maximal position $M_n$. Then we determine all possible limiting law for the sequence $M_n -\alpha n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Philippe Carmona , Yueyun Hu

We study a $d$-dimensional random walk with exponentially distributed increments conditioned so that the components stay ordered (in the sense of Doob). We find explicitly a positive harmonic function $h$ for the killed process and then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Denis Denisov , Will FitzGerald

Given a connected graph $G$ with some subset of its vertices excited and a fixed target vertex, in the geodesic-biased random walk on $G$, a random walker moves as follows: from an unexcited vertex, she moves to a uniformly random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Mikhail Beliayeu , Petr Chmel , Bhargav Narayanan , Jan Petr

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

We consider one infinite path of a Random Walk in Random Environment (RWRE, for short) in an unknown environment. This environment consists of either i.i.d.\ site or bond randomness. At each position the random walker stops and tells us the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-16 Jonas Jalowy , Matthias Löwe

Consider a sequence of independent random isometries of Euclidean space with a previously fixed probability law. Apply these isometries successively to the origin and consider the sequence of random points that we obtain this way. We prove…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-17 Péter Pál Varjú

Consider a random walk on a tree $G=(V,E)$. For $v,w \in V$, let the hitting time $H(v,w)$ denote the expected number of steps required for the random walk started at $v$ to reach $w$, and let $\pi_v = \mathrm{deg}(v)/2|E|$ denote the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Andrew Beveridge , Ben Bridenbaugh , Ari Holcombe Pomerance

We consider a discrete-time random walk where the random increment at time step $t$ depends on the full history of the process. We calculate exactly the mean and variance of the position and discuss its dependence on the initial condition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Gunter M. Schütz , Steffen Trimper

This work deals with the stationary analysis of two-dimensional partially homogeneous nearest-neighbour random walks. Such type of random walks in the quarter plane are characterized by the fact that the one-step transition probabilities…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Ioannis Dimitriou

We investigate reflected random walks in the quarter plane, with particular emphasis on the time spent along the reflection boundary axes. Assuming the drift of the random walk lies within the cone, the local time converges -- without the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Viet Hung Hoang , Kilian Raschel

Minimizing the rank of a matrix subject to constraints is a challenging problem that arises in many applications in control theory, machine learning, and discrete geometry. This class of optimization problems, known as rank minimization, is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Benjamin Recht , Weiyu Xu , Babak Hassibi