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A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

New ideas and technologies adopted by a small number of individuals occasionally spread globally through a complex web of social ties. Here, we present a simple and general approximation method, namely, a message-passing approach, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Tomokatsu Onaga

Cascading failures constitute an important vulnerability of interconnected systems. Here we focus on the study of such failures on networks in which the connectivity of nodes is constrained by geographical distance. Specifically, we use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-08 Andrea Asztalos , Sameet Sreenivasan , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

This study introduces a comprehensive framework that situates information cascades within the domain of higher-order interactions, utilizing a double-threshold hypergraph model. We propose that individuals (nodes) gain awareness of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-14 Lei Chen , Yanpeng Zhu , Jiadong Zhu , Zhongyuan Ruan , Michael Small , Kim Christensen , Run-Ran Liu , Fanyuan Meng

We study the role of finiteness and fluctuations about average quantities for basic structural properties of growing networks. We first determine the exact degree distribution of finite networks by generating function approaches. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Industry reliability rules increasingly require utilities to study and mitigate cascading failure risk in their system. Motivated by this, this paper describes how cascading failure risk, in terms of expected blackout size, varies with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-18 Pooya Rezaei , Paul D. H. Hines

We consider the problem of identifying the source of an epidemic, spreading through a network, from a complete observation of the infected nodes in a snapshot of the network. Previous work on the problem has often employed geometric,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-13 S. Jalil Kazemitabar , Arash A. Amini

External or internal shocks may lead to the collapse of a system consisting of many agents. If the shock hits only one agent initially and causes it to fail, this can induce a cascade of failures among neighoring agents. Several critical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Claudio J. Tessone , Antonios Garas , Beniamino Guerra , Frank Schweitzer

In a diversified context with multiple social networking sites, heterogeneous activity patterns and different user-user relations, the concept of "information cascade" is all but univocal. Despite the fact that such information cascades can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-20 Raquel A Baños , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

We study the mutual percolation of a system composed of two interdependent random regular networks. We introduce a notion of distance to explore the effects of the proximity of interdependent nodes on the cascade of failures after an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-26 Yosef Kornbluth , Steven Lowinger , Gabriel Cwilich , Sergey V. Buldyrev

Influence maximization is the task of selecting a small number of seed nodes in a social network to maximize the influence spread from these seeds. It has been widely investigated in the past two decades. In the canonical setting, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Zhijie Zhang , Wei Chen , Xiaoming Sun , Jialin Zhang

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

We consider a general tractable model for default contagion and systemic risk in a heterogeneous financial network, subject to an exogenous macroeconomic shock. We show that, under some regularity assumptions, the default cascade model…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-02 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Agnes Sulem

In Bayesian networks, exact belief propagation is achieved through message passing algorithms. These algorithms (ex: inward and outward) provide only a recursive definition of the corresponding messages. In contrast, when working on hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 G. Nuel

Broadcasting algorithms are of fundamental importance for distributed systems engineering. In this paper we revisit the classical and well-studied push protocol for message broadcasting. Assuming that initially only one node has some piece…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-05-01 Nikolaos Fountoulakis , Anna Huber , Konstantinos Panagiotou

Diffusion on complex networks is often modeled as a stochastic process. Yet, recent work on strategic diffusion emphasizes the decision power of agents and treats diffusion as a strategic problem. Here we study the computational aspects of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Marcin Waniek , Khaled Elbassioni , Flavio L. Pinheiro , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Aamena Alshamsi

Probabilistic message-passing algorithms are developed for routing transmissions in multi-wavelength optical communication networks, under node and edge-disjoint routing constraints and for various objective functions. Global routing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-25 Yi-Zhi Xu , Ho Fai Po , Chi Ho Yeung , David Saad

A common theme among the proposed models for network epidemics is the assumption that the propagating object, i.e., a virus or a piece of information, is transferred across the nodes without going through any modification or evolution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-05 Rashad Eletreby , Yong Zhuang , Kathleen M. Carley , Osman Yağan , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we investigate random walks in a family of small-world trees having an exponential degree distribution. First, we address a trapping problem, that is, a particular case of random walks with an immobile trap located at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-25 Zhongzhi Zhang , Xintong Li , Yuan Lin , Guanrong Chen